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This topic comprises 3 pages: 1  2  3 
 
Author Topic: How many years does film have left?
Leo Enticknap
Film God

Posts: 7474
From: Loma Linda, CA
Registered: Jul 2000


 - posted 06-16-2006 05:02 PM      Profile for Leo Enticknap   Author's Homepage   Email Leo Enticknap   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
There's a long-established precedent of consumer entertainment technology stimulating the development of theatre exhibition technology, not killing it. Part of the reason the talkies came along was the growth of domestic audio technology in the mid '20s - radio, telephones and recorded music. Television provided part of the impetus for the rollout of widescreen (which wasn't there when the first round of research and development for widescreen happened in the late '20s). Dolby SVA in the theatre happened partly because by the end of the '70s, Joe Public had stereo in his home and expected it in the theatre, too. Multiplexes happened as a response to the domestic VCR - for the first time, consumers had 'on demand' choice at home, and therefore expected that flexibility when they went to the theatre, hence the shift from a small number of auditoria with thousands of seats to large numbers of auditoria with 100-200 seats, plus the technology which made that cost-effective (i.e. xenon lamps, platters and automation). Logically, therefore, the consumer rollout of HD digital video should mean that theatre projection follows in its wake.

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Cameron Glendinning
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 845
From: West Ryde, Sydney, NSW Australia
Registered: Dec 2005


 - posted 06-16-2006 10:01 PM      Profile for Cameron Glendinning   Email Cameron Glendinning   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
In Sydney Australia, average ticket price A$15 Adult,
You can buy a new DVD from $10, latest release DVD aprox $25

Aust$1 = aprox 75 US cents

The point that I'm trying to make regarding 60 frames a sec, is about making cinema a much more dramatic experience, something so much better than today and hopefully better than 70mm ever was, well except showscan which was 70mm at 60 frames.
I would love to see a cinema screen so sharp and clear it was like looking out of a window. I have no doubt that 4k resolution at 60 frames a sec whether on film or digital would provide a standard that would be totally awsome & far better than avalable at home.

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Ron Curran
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 504
From: Springwood NSW Australia
Registered: Feb 2006


 - posted 06-16-2006 11:12 PM      Profile for Ron Curran   Author's Homepage   Email Ron Curran   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi Cameron, the average ticket price in Australia is a lot less than $15, unless you want to sit through 20 minutes of ads in a multi.

However, your point is still valid. Most Film-Techers have already stated that the entire movie-going experience MUST improve or it will be extinct.

Technology is just one aspect. Quality 35mm Scope with DTS, presented well can be an awsome but rare experience. Except for those monster 80 foot screens. The circuits that order those screens should also be ordering 70mm prints.

We have seen impressive digi demonstrations but in the real exhibition world it won't make a scrap of diferrence unless the whole theatrical experience is something people want to leave their comfy couches for.

It's all been said here before.

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

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From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 06-16-2006 11:31 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
When video-based projection is put into an equation of wide-spread industry use, I can actually see a practical possibility of 70mm growing to become the dominant gauge of motion picture film.

Sounds wacky, right? Consider the likelihood 35mm projectors in most standard size commercial theaters are going to be removed completely and replaced with video projectors. Film projectors will eventually only reside in the largest of movie theaters. The largest movie theaters have pushed screen sizes well beyond the capacity for 35mm projection to show an acceptably bright image.

I would not be too surprised at all if we have a situation 10 years from now where 95% of all movie theaters have only video projectors. And then the ones running film projectors will just feature 5/70, 8/70 and 15/70 formats.

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Warren Smyth
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 158
From: Auckland ,New Zealand
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted 06-17-2006 09:48 AM      Profile for Warren Smyth   Email Warren Smyth   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Let me state that I sincerely wish that I could agree with those of you who believe that film and the current method of exhibiting motion pictures via theatre auditoriums, will continue. I would love to be proved wrong, but I know how easy it is to be influenced by the heart rather than the head.

I have experienced the pleasure of seeing and screening the very finest motion picture entertainment in picture palaces like, and including the civic Auckland that appears in the latter portion of King Kong. This was when projectionists were not only paid for their technical knowledge, but for their creativity of presentation as well. An age when we would work all night repairing a curtain just to avoid an audience seeing a naked screen on the following performance, a sight which is now the norm in muliplexes.

That was a long time ago when theatres had besides technical, a theatrical edge over home entertainment. Sadly this second advantage was killed off by the desire to maximise profit. The current audiences who wouldn't know what a waterfall curtain, overture or entr'act is, therefore cannot see anything special in multiplex entertainment. The only perceived margin of difference now between theatre and home entertainment is technical standards, convenience and price. Audiences have been conditioned away from maybe the only asset unique to the theatre, which can never be totally replicated in the home.

Those who think high wattage sound systems and large screens provide advantages which you cannot get at home, let me say, that you don't need 500 watts feeding into a surround channel at home unless you want to suffer hearing loss. It's the quality of the audio that matters, and home systems are getting very good now. On the subject of large screens ,the 11 foot screen in my home theatrette appears larger than the 60 foot screen at our local civic theatre, that is, if you are seated in the circle that King Kong jumps up on to and partly demolishes. You see, it's just a question of scale. If you want a big picture you can sit as close as you like to the screen. It's resolution that counts and that is getting better in the home all the time. Also, appropriate home theatre surroundings can easily surpass that of the local multiplex.

quote:
There is a long-established precedent of consumer entertainment technology stimulating the development of theatre exhibition technology - not killing it.
This may have happened with sound, but let's look at the improvement that has been made to the projected image over the last fifty years.

If you are fortunate to be able to see an original Technicolor Vista Vision print of the 1950's and compare it with a current film in 1 to 1.85 aspect ratio, you will find it very difficult to see any improvement over fifty years. Take a 70mm print shot on 65mm negative and compare it with the very best available today, then ask yourself, "What technical improvement has the industry provided for the patron for fifty years of development?" Sure, film emulsions have improved, providing finer grain for faster speed. It is however, of little consequence to the theatre customer if large amounts of light no longer has to be pumped into the sets during filming. Sure CGI has revolutionised special effects but it's now becoming apparent that films cannot rely on special effects alone.

Compare this lack of image improvement with home entertainment. In the 50s television was in black and white, the screens were small and the resolution was lower than that of 8mm film. After fifty years, we now have a high definition DVD format with another one about to be released for the home. The consumer market has not stimulated image improvement in theatres at all. While the exhibition industry sat on it's hands, the domestic industry progressed recently at an alarming rate. Will this drive the exhibitors into developing higher technical standards to re-establish a high technical margin between their entertainment and that of the home? - I don't think so.

The reason is, that in the past, improvements were driven at the production end because the studios and theatre interests were aligned. This is no longer so. The film companies can make money from films straight into the home via other delivery systems, some of which have yet to be developed. They have demonstrated a desire to get their investment back on films as fast as possible. The multiplex gave them this, but they may prefer even quicker methods in future, particularly if they think they can avoid the pirates.

Another reason is that the theatres are joining the same technology form as exists in the home - digital. As I stated, the domestic arm of this will have the advantage of a greater economy of scale which drives up standards and lowers cost. The home theatre systems in terms of resolution will be snapping at the heels of theatre equipment developers as they attempt to catch up. This means that exhibitors will be on a technilogical and financial treadmill and may be forced in the cost of the product, to finance research and development that the domestic market ultimately benefits from. To add further insult, systems will be redundant in just a few years and require constant upgrades just to sort out bugs. It's known in the computer industry as the "bleeding" edge. There will probably be major compatibility issues with new software, something that is already hitting the domestic market with HDDVD and Blue Ray but on a small scale, compared to what exhibitors may face.

The constant cost of maintaining a high technical margin between theatres and home entertainment to attract patrons will be extremely high. For many exhibitors, too high, and for how long? When home entertainment can one day provide the resolution of 70mm film, the margin probably won't matter anyway. Who knows when that will be, but if you consider the accelerated rate of improvement in home digital projector and DVD technology in the last three years, it's bound to be sooner than you think. Welcome to the race.

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 06-17-2006 12:57 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I disagree with it being much of a race at all. Film-based cinematography and film-based projection will indeed endure in a number of areas.

I've said the limit of HDTV resolution has a sort of tyranny. It is unavoidable. There are NO video cameras made anywhere that surpass 1080 HD standards. The only normal way to get above it is by shooting on film. There currently is not nearly enough demand to push video recording technology above the limit of 1080p.

Several things must happen to push video recording standards beyond 1080p. Computer monitors of much higher native resolution must see far greater use -and they must be able to double as full blown television sets. Video game consoles must be able to support those greater resolutions. And then new kinds of optical video discs must be able to do the same. It will take putting that basic infrastructure into place before companies like Sony, Panasonic and others will bother at all developing video cameras that record at levels above 1080p.

Digital projector designs are largely stuck near HDTV levels because much of the technology going into those systems is also tailored to serving the far larger consumer electronics market -which can be no better than 1080p. There's little need to develop 4K, 6K or 8K imagers when only a tiny number of the extremely expensive parts can be sold. Video projection cannot truly challenge the full quality of 35mm while that problem continues to exist. Forget about video even being able to challenge standards like IMAX.

Lamp strength in video projectors is an even more basic problem. Christie's new 2K DLP model comes only in models with 4000 watt and 6000 watt lamps. That's certainly good enough for a lot of normal sized commercial theaters. But those lamp sizes are insufficient for the giant sized screens we're seeing installed in a new breed of multiplex theaters. A 70' or 80' wide screen needs something like a 10K, 12K or even 15K watt lamp. You get that only with various 70mm film projectors.

Digital still camera technology might be an alternative for pushing standards further in the near term. Newer D-SLR cameras are boasting ever higher pixel counts, less and less lag and much smoother tonal control. As they continue to improve they'll open up new possibilities for video application.

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Richard Fowler
Film God

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From: Ft. Lauderdale, FL, USA
Registered: Jun 2001


 - posted 06-17-2006 01:25 PM      Profile for Richard Fowler   Email Richard Fowler   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Dalsa 4K origin cameras have been available for rental in Los Angeles over a year and two more companies are showing prototypes for early next year delivery [Cool] I love film but we are working on two projects for next year (1)35mm (1)HDTV based on the merits of each situation.

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Mark Gulbrandsen
Resident Trollmaster

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From: Music City
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 - posted 06-17-2006 07:08 PM      Profile for Mark Gulbrandsen   Email Mark Gulbrandsen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Steve Guttag
it seems like the fools ary TRYING to put up roadblocks to the "movement."

I quite agree with your observations. But wouldn't it be simple enough fr someone to come out with a software based standards converter so the 1.3K equipment can play back fomr an MPEG2000 server? That seems l;ike the proper and more economically feasable way to go from my end.

Speaking of Roadblocks.... We have two 120 plus chain circuites that have had calls into Chrostie for some time with no return calls at all. It really doesn't seem like they really want to sell any systems to me. Also the 2300.00 per year per projector 10 year long D-Cinema Service contract is a screeming joke to say the least.

Mark

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Cameron Glendinning
Jedi Master Film Handler

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From: West Ryde, Sydney, NSW Australia
Registered: Dec 2005


 - posted 06-18-2006 12:20 AM      Profile for Cameron Glendinning   Email Cameron Glendinning   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi bobby

There are NO video cameras made anywhere that surpass 1080 HD standards.

Cheak out arriflexs aproach to digital on their website. traditional 35mm production lenses, camerabody, ect, except the film magazine,in its place is 6 megapixal cmos super35mm sized chip/ therefore same depth of field/ with raw digital output & 1080i

I agree that film will be used for productions for many many more years.

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
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 - posted 06-18-2006 01:02 AM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The ARRI D20 seems like it is employing a number of D-SLR camera technologies. Still I think it has a couple possibile limitations. I believe any professional level video camera should have 3 CCD or CMOS chips. Single chip designs really only see a greyscale image and use a variety of filtering techniques to make a full color image. ARRI's website says one must use post processing to develop color images from the Bayer-based RAW data.

CMOS chips are easier to manufacture at higher resolutions, but they can tend to produce more visual noise than traditional charge couple device type chips. Most high resolution imaging chips can only "see" an image so fast.

Still, it's kind of interesting to see ARRI produce a video camera that can do "3K" (3018 X 2200) in its "film mode."

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Paul Mayer
Oh get out of it Melvin, before it pulls you under!

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 - posted 06-18-2006 01:12 AM      Profile for Paul Mayer   Author's Homepage   Email Paul Mayer   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
And there is the Ikegami UHDV camera that NHK was showing at NAB with 16M green and 8M each red and blue chips (7680x4320 or 32M). Of course it's not a production camera yet, but something like it will be - NHK is planning to start UHDV broadcasts in 2025. The format is already in use at several LF-style theaters in Japan.

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Louis Bornwasser
Film God

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From: prospect ky usa
Registered: Mar 2005


 - posted 06-18-2006 06:47 PM      Profile for Louis Bornwasser   Author's Homepage   Email Louis Bornwasser   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Back on topic: if D-cinema doesn't "settle down" so that those who are early adopters are rewarded with some possibility to amortize their investment, then film will last indefinately.

I might add that I thought this would happen 20 years ago (I am from the broadcast industry originally.) Now I am not certain it will happen in the NEXT 20 years. It depends upon how "piggy" the video guys are. Louis

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John Koutsoumis
Master Film Handler

Posts: 261
From: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted 06-18-2006 08:01 PM      Profile for John Koutsoumis   Email John Koutsoumis   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Ron Curran
Hi Cameron, the average ticket price in Australia is a lot less than $15, unless you want to sit through 20 minutes of ads in a multi.


Just to add...
Well people in the suburbs and Cities don't have much of a choice, if they want to go a cinema they have to go to a Multi/Megaplex. We've just lost another single screen Cinema here in Melbourne, with only one left which is second run. The tickets here range from $13-15.
I noticed in the paper on Saturday that Hoyts (worst company of all the multi's [bs] ) and Village (who are not much better)
have started a new advertising campaign:

"See it BIGGER
See it BETTER
See it FIRST
Only at the MOVIES!

Pfffftt, bleh. With the kind of staff, presentation and let's face it, quality many (but not all) 35mm prints I should give the ACCC (Australian Competition and Consumer Commission) a call
and make a claim of false advertising (in particular to
the "Better" claim.

From ACCC website ACCC :
quote:
Staff and representatives must take care not to mislead or deceive. It doesn’t matter whether the misrepresentation is deliberate or accidental. What does matter is the impression that is left in the mind of the customer .

The Act tells business that it must not mislead or deceive, or take actions that are likely to mislead or deceive. It also specifically outlaws particular types of false or misleading representations, such as false or misleading claims about a product’s value, price, quality, place of origin or impact on the environment.


Heh-heh [Big Grin] [evil] as if. (I think I need to get out more often)

In recent times The Village Cinemas at the Jam Factory were advertising Digital Screenings of "Chicken Little: 3-D" and that Narnia film (whatver that was called) as "The Future of Cinema". Well if that's the case then we're all doomed [Roll Eyes]

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Mark Gulbrandsen
Resident Trollmaster

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From: Music City
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 - posted 06-23-2006 02:45 PM      Profile for Mark Gulbrandsen   Email Mark Gulbrandsen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
My way of thinking is not how many years does film have left but how many years does this system of exhibition have left irregardless of what is being projected and by what method....

The whole multiplex thing is really getting stale(irregardless of the system used to project) and exhibitors really need to get their fingers out of their butts and get busy building something new, exciting, and different! Its not going to matter if the image is of Imax quality in every cinema... Multiplex Theaters in general really suck!

Mark

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Richard Fowler
Film God

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From: Ft. Lauderdale, FL, USA
Registered: Jun 2001


 - posted 06-23-2006 02:58 PM      Profile for Richard Fowler   Email Richard Fowler   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Time to roll out the Uni-plex concept [Big Grin]

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