This is topic AMC Signs $315,000,000 Deal with Sony 4k Digital in forum Digital Cinema Forum at Film-Tech Forum ARCHIVE.


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Posted by Mark Lensenmayer (Member # 134) on 03-30-2009, 06:12 AM:
 
NY Times - 3/30/09

quote:
Sony says it has signed a $315 million deal to install its digital projectors in all AMC Entertainment theaters.

The contract will close the gap between Sony and Texas Instruments in the digital projector market. Texas Instruments has equipped 5,476 screens in North American theaters with its digital light processing projectors. The deal with AMC will increase Sony’s presence to about 5,000 screens.

Theater chains are replacing film projection equipment with digital versions because new technology provides a clearer picture. No film is used, so digital images are devoid of scratches and wobbly images. Distribution costs will also be lower, as studios no longer need to create and distribute reels of film. Rather, movies can be downloaded from a satellite or served to several projectors in one theater from a hard drive.

The Sony projectors will be installed beginning in the second quarter this year and continue through 2012.

Frank Rash, an AMC senior vice president, said AMC settled on Sony’s 4K technology because “digital cinema gives us a huge opportunity to do 3-D, live broadcasts and playback of live events.”

(Article by Eric A Taub)


 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 03-30-2009, 07:10 AM:
 
And those that don't learn from history.....
 
Posted by Scott Norwood (Member # 30) on 03-30-2009, 09:12 AM:
 
It sounds as if there will be some cheap SDDS units for sale over the next few years....

Does this deal fall under the auspices of the DCIP arrangement, or did AMC decide that DCIP was worthless and make this deal on its own? Will they get a discount on Sony/Columbia "film" rentals now? It sounds as if they agreed to pay about $68k per screen, which may be a reasonable deal if it includes the server and installation.
 
Posted by William T. Parr (Member # 677) on 03-30-2009, 09:19 AM:
 
Yep and if history follow suit with Sony they will stop supporting the product about the time they do the final install for AMC in 2011 0r 2012. [fu]
 
Posted by Louis Bornwasser (Member # 3063) on 03-30-2009, 10:39 AM:
 
Remember: sdds stood for "someday, damn soon." Louis
 
Posted by Mark J. Marshall (Member # 1409) on 03-30-2009, 10:51 AM:
 
I thought it was "Shoulda Done Dolby Stereo".

quote:
Frank Rash, an AMC senior vice president, said AMC settled on Sony’s 4K technology because “digital cinema gives us a huge opportunity to do 3-D, live broadcasts and playback of live events.”
Does that make sense to anyone else? Can't you do those things with just about any digital projector? The quote doesn't seem to explain why AMC "settled" on SONY.
 
Posted by Sam D. Chavez (Member # 1841) on 03-30-2009, 02:00 PM:
 
AMC has a culture of doing everything differently. Their motto from years back was "AMC, There is a Difference!"

Periscopes, Smart, Ceiling Surrounds, Taurus Screens...

One of these days they will hit a home run.
 
Posted by Scott Norwood (Member # 30) on 03-30-2009, 02:34 PM:
 
To answer my own question, this deal does fall under the DCIP umbrella.

It does seem odd to me that they would commit their entire chain to a single-vendor product. Unlike SDDS, every AMC screen would be put at risk of going dark if Sony decides to abandon the product or significantly raise parts prices or if a major part becomes NLA. It would have been a better long-term business decision to install a mix of equipment, which would prevent the company from being completely screwed if there are issues with the Sony product.

Apparently this is what happens when you hire your CEO from Starbucks.... [Razz]
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 03-30-2009, 02:34 PM:
 
quote: Mark J. Marshall
I thought it was "Shoulda Done Dolby Stereo".

Interestingly the Sony's are among the most expensive to operate day to day because they require a pair of special Ushio 2kw lamps!! List is about 1200 bucks a lamp and lamp life pretty much sucks and is not consistant.

I'm pretty sure they were saying that as they replaced alot of the SDDS units with CP-650's!!!

The new one will be Shoulda Done Christie Digital.... you watch!

Mark
 
Posted by Martin McCaffery (Member # 37) on 03-30-2009, 05:53 PM:
 
quote: Sam D. Chavez
Periscopes, Smart, Ceiling Surrounds, Taurus Screens...
Didn't AMC try to convert to 16mm about 20 years ago?
 
Posted by Chris Slycord (Member # 4239) on 03-30-2009, 06:26 PM:
 
quote:
AMC Signs $315 Deal with Sony 4k Digital
Cheap deal, isn't it?

[Razz]
 
Posted by Tony Bandiera Jr (Member # 2365) on 03-30-2009, 07:22 PM:
 
Nope, you all got it wrong. SDDS is System Dumps During Show. [Big Grin]

Steve summed it up: AMC is incredibly stupid and hasn't learned from history.

Sony needs to stay the [sex] of the the cinema biz..they cause a lot more damage than good. [fu]

quote: Sam Chavez
One of these days they will hit a home run.
Sam, I hope that was sarcasm....AMC hasn't even managed a base hit yet...

AMC = American Monkey Cinema...
 
Posted by Louis Bornwasser (Member # 3063) on 03-30-2009, 08:02 PM:
 
Another example of too much money and not enough brain! Louis
 
Posted by Joe Redifer (Member # 3) on 03-30-2009, 08:36 PM:
 
Their ALL DIGITAL Orchard 12 or whatever it is called out her in Denver is pretty good, much better than most AMC theaters. No Torus (that I saw), surround speakers were on the wall and not the ceiling, seats were comfy and the auditorium looked very nice and was comfortable. It was like going to a non-AMC theater!! Needless to say I was very confused. The picture was pretty good coming from one of those Sony 4Ks (I assume), but of course the source was 2K like most/all digital movies. This theater also had an IMAX which I did not see, but it is not real IMAX it is the fake digital IMAX so it probably is pretty lame.
 
Posted by John T. Hendrickson, Jr (Member # 849) on 03-31-2009, 09:42 AM:
 
I thought SDDS ment "sound dies during show". [Wink]

It will be interesting to see how quickly this venture goes forward. Wonder where AMC is getting the money from??
 
Posted by Mark J. Marshall (Member # 1409) on 03-31-2009, 10:26 AM:
 
That's money they have from not paying me anymore after I quit.
 
Posted by William T. Parr (Member # 677) on 03-31-2009, 02:04 PM:
 
quote: Joe Redifer
Their ALL DIGITAL Orchard 12 or whatever it is called out her in Denver is pretty good, much better than most AMC theaters. No Torus (that I saw), surround speakers were on the wall and not the ceiling, seats were comfy and the auditorium looked very nice and was comfortable. It was like going to a non-AMC theater!! Needless to say I was very confused
Joe,

A few years back AMC realized that anything over 16 screens was killing them bottom line wise. At the same time they fired thier in house designer that pioneered the Toradial Screen System and they also started building THX certified auditoriums. So somewhere they have picked a few brain cells there only 25 plus years behind now. [uhoh]
 
Posted by Joe Redifer (Member # 3) on 03-31-2009, 03:34 PM:
 
Are you speaking about Larry Jacobson or whatever his name is?
 
Posted by William T. Parr (Member # 677) on 03-31-2009, 04:41 PM:
 
Can not recall what his name.
 
Posted by Julio Roberto (Member # 4976) on 04-01-2009, 11:04 PM:
 
Well, this is a welcomed and significant advance for digital cinema. Between Christie, Barco and Nec they have a little over 5000 2K installations in the USA.

Depending on how fast this is done, this will put Sony only a couple hundred units behind all their competitors together. It would also probably boost a bit other sales for them and the confidence on the Sony 4K system overall.

The good news in all this is that many more studios will be inclined to release their movies in 4K from now on. Several of the new ones are being filmed/scanned at an over-2K resolutions, so this will give them the perfect "excuse" to start releasing 4K more widely, which is what DCI wanted all along anyway.

Imax installations would also benefit, as would regular 2K installations since when a film is "mastered" in 2K it usually ends up having a bit less than that actual resolution (I.e. a common 35mm scanner resolution at 2K yields 1806x976 pixels from 1.85:1 negative area, which is under the 1998 x 1080 that DCI equipment is capable for that format)

When a film is "mastered" in 4K in has the "side effect" that the "true" resolution is usually well over 2K, even if it's usually under true-4K in reality, so when it's resized to 2K there is actually (potentially) at least that much (full-2K) detail in there. The 2K's would thus, hopefully, if the don't overcompress, be used to its fullest potential.

Wish TI would put serious thought into a 4K product, but I think they just can't offer a cheap-enough solution at that res. But perhaps they could come out with a expensive projector for those that can afford it.
 
Posted by Frank Angel (Member # 248) on 04-02-2009, 07:58 AM:
 
After spending all that money on 4K projection, AMC marketing dept, if they knew what they were doing, should make one big bruhaha about it: AMC -- Double the picture resolution of "standard" theatres. Then they need to create a snipe which touts 4K al la what Disney does for every DVD release of their "digitally restored" classic stuff -- show the 2K resolution image on half the screen with the color saturation turned way down and the contrast decreased enough to make it look like crap, then on the other side, have what represents the 4K image all bright and crisp. Customers will eat it up.

Plus, the general public still has strong, positive brand identification, especially regarding picture quality, there is that perception that the best picture you could get in a TV set was a Sony Trinitron -- at least that would be true with the older demographic. The public as a whole doesn't know about the SDDS debacle.

It's hard to imagine that AMC would do this install without taking advantage of using it to trumptet their horn against their competitors in all their advertising, after all they do have that bigger 4K vs 2K number to exploit, regardless if 1) it doesn't actually mean double the resolution and 2) if allot of their stuff will still originate from 2K original elements. But since when do ad agencies worry about that pesky thing called truth in advertising? All I know is, if I were spending 315 million to install some equipment, I sure as hell would try to use it to my competitive advantage rather than keeping it hidden under a barrel. When and exhib spent money to get a THX certification, he sure as hell did his best to let it work for him to put more butts in his seats -- snipes, 1-sheets, gold looking placques on the walls, a huge, 4K standee in the lobby [thumbsup]
 
Posted by Lyle Romer (Member # 1266) on 04-02-2009, 12:20 PM:
 
Actually it's 4x the resolution of other digital theaters.
 
Posted by Scott Norwood (Member # 30) on 04-02-2009, 12:55 PM:
 
Since no one else has mentioned this yet, I will. According to the Sony web site, their brightest 4k unit provides 11,000 lumens of light output. I've been told that 10k lumens is roughly equivalent to a 2kw xenon with 35mm (subjectively, it looks slightly brighter to me). AMC has many theatres with larger screens which are currently using 3kw and larger xenons.

This presents three possibilities which are not mutually exclusive: a) Sony has a brighter unit in the works, but which is not available yet; b) AMC will install multiple Sony units on its larger screens; and c) a significant number of AMC screens will soon be under-lit.
 
Posted by Frank Angel (Member # 248) on 04-02-2009, 01:05 PM:
 
Has AMC not had any digital screens so far? And if so, are they chucking those systems an reinstalling Sonys? Or will they actually not be exclusively Sony 4Ks in all theatres?
 
Posted by Lyle Romer (Member # 1266) on 04-02-2009, 01:06 PM:
 
I'd guess b or c. Most likely b. Either that or the larger screens will get digital IMAX which will be lower resolution than the smaller screens (unless they do digital IMAX with Sony 4k's like originally planned or like the Simpson's ride at Universal Studios).
 
Posted by Julio Roberto (Member # 4976) on 04-02-2009, 01:10 PM:
 
quote: Scott Norwood
This presents three possibilities which are not mutually exclusive: a) Sony has a brighter unit in the works, but which is not available yet; b) AMC will install multiple Sony units on its larger screens; and c) a significant number of AMC screens will soon be under-lit.
I'm not sure what to say ... I'm leaning towards "C".

Can I use a lifeline?

Sony's technology has serious longevity problems with really high light levels. It can do close to 15.000 lumens if done right, but really hard to go any above that without melting something in the process or increasing the cost very substantially. They also haven't quite mastered the uniformity issue.
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-02-2009, 02:00 PM:
 
Scott, you were looking at the A/V projector...their DCinema projectors go up to 18,000 lumens and use normal xenon lamps.

SRXD R220

Steve
 
Posted by Lyle Romer (Member # 1266) on 04-02-2009, 02:00 PM:
 
quote: Frank Angel
Has AMC not had any digital screens so far? And if so, are they chucking those systems an reinstalling Sonys? Or will they actually not be exclusively Sony 4Ks in all theatres?
They definitely have some 2k 3D screens. Probably almost all of thier 35mm with 1 or 2 3D screens are done this way. All of their all digital builds so far have been 100% sony 4k as far as I know.
 
Posted by Scott Norwood (Member # 30) on 04-02-2009, 02:11 PM:
 
Thanks, Steve. That makes perfect sense. Still, won't AMC have screens that are too big to be properly lit with a single unit?
 
Posted by Lyle Romer (Member # 1266) on 04-02-2009, 02:18 PM:
 
According to the Sony press release
quote:
The new anamorphic lens, model LKRL-A001, will allow exhibitors to reach 14 foot-lamberts of brightness on screens up to 70 feet wide
.

I don't know if they have screens wider than 70 feet out there (the biggest I've personally seen are around 60 feet at pleasure island 24) but if they do they'll either be underlit or need 2 projectors overlapped.
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-02-2009, 03:16 PM:
 
315,000,000 divided by 5000 = 63,000 per projector... thats a hell of a deal and obviously why they went with it. You can't get 2K systems that cheap... if they could have they'd probably have gone that route...

What ever the real reason for going with the Sony's its going to mean alot LESS film print production over the next three years...

Mark
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-02-2009, 03:49 PM:
 
Yeah, like AMC has ever completed any of their deals or that they really have the money to do it. Film will still be doing fine.

There is more to the story than meets the eye, I'd be sure of it.
 
Posted by Julio Roberto (Member # 4976) on 04-02-2009, 04:16 PM:
 
I also wonder what exactly this means:

quote:
Sony Electronics’ Digital Cinema Solutions and Services (DCSS) group has entered into a non-exclusive digital cinema deployment agreement with Walt Disney Studio Motion Pictures and Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures International. The companies will work together to provide operational and financial resources to exhibitors that encourage them to feature Sony’s 4K SXRD™ projection technology in both 2D and 3D digital cinema-enabled screens across North America and Europe.

Sony’s digital cinema group has now signed digital cinema deployment agreements with four major studios: Walt Disney, Twentieth Century Fox, Paramount Pictures, and Sony Pictures Entertainment.

"Disney continues to be very excited about the possibilities of digital cinema, and has long supported new technologies that give moviegoers the best possible theatrical experience, and provide a wide range of benefits to our partners in exhibition," said Anthony Marcoly, president, sales and distribution, for Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures International. "We're pleased to be working with Sony's Digital Cinema Solutions and Services group in deploying this advanced technology and finding new ways to help theater owners upgrade their equipment economically and efficiently. Sony's 4K projection system offers magnificent state-of-the-art technology, and gives theaters the flexibility for high-quality 2D playback as well as the increasingly important ability to display spectacular 3D productions.”

He added that, “With 17 3D feature films in the Disney pipeline, ranging from great animated fare to fantastic live-action epics, we believe that 3D exhibition and digital cinema are vitally important to the future of moviegoing."

The Sony DCSS group was formed to provide turn-key solutions for exhibitors, enabling them to efficiently convert their operations to digital technology. In addition to digital projection system deployment, the DCSS group will offer installation and maintenance services, customized solutions, delivery of alternative content programming, and high-level service support.

Will Disney be offering VPF to those using Sony's 4K [Confused] [Confused]
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-02-2009, 07:01 PM:
 
Actually DCIP of which AMC is a partner says they only need to be able to receive VPF's from three studios to be able to convert to digital...

"Where are they getting the money....?"

From Wall Street investors and partners, about 1 billion to convert...
 
Posted by Tony Bandiera Jr (Member # 2365) on 04-07-2009, 12:50 AM:
 
I reiterate that this whole thing smacks of a massive repeat of the SDDS caper..I feel sorry for those foolish enough to sign on with Sony...like someone else said earlier in the thread, Sony will most likely drop the support for those units right after the last one is installed..

For a company of Sony's stature, I cannot figure out why they continue to make so many fucked up decisions....like not licensing the Betamax technology to other manufacturers until it was too late to counter VHS...history repeats itself....

Another point to ponder: Christie and I believe Barco are using DLP technology, which has had many years of development and field application, whereas Sony's "Super LCD" technology is newer and prone to damage/aging from lamp heat.

Perhaps Sony is using all these poor saps as "Beta Testers" for their machines.
 
Posted by Peter Castle (Member # 1997) on 04-07-2009, 12:59 AM:
 
Super LCD?

Where have you been? LCoS technology is not new. It was developed quite some time back by JVC and Hughes. Sony has just continued with development where JVC decided to concentrate on its use in home systems.

I much prefer a situation where the future of digital cinema is not in the hands of just one company - TI.
 
Posted by Tony Bandiera Jr (Member # 2365) on 04-09-2009, 02:23 PM:
 
Peter, did it ever occur to you WHY LCoS is not the dominant player in the D-Cinema industry right now?

Lack of support and development by the parent company amongst other things. IIRC, JVC/Hughes had the Sony Betamax attitude in the beginning, not even wanting to license the technology to other manufacturers to develop their own brand name of projector. I used to service a home screening room with one of JVC's early LCoS projectors..JVC stopped servicing it after only two years in operation, and the client was left with a $100k boat anchor..they replaced it with a Christie DLP which is still being supported. That was over eight years ago...

TI HAS licensed it's DLP imager to many manufacturers for home, commercial AND D-Cinema uses.

The DLP imager has proven itself to be pretty robust and reliable. It is not as sensitive to heat and UV degradation as ANY LCD technology is.

And while TI is currently the only maker of the DLP device, TI has been around for a very long time and has shown a vested interest in continuing to support DLP technology. The mere fact that they have allowed so many manufacturers to use their light engine shows their commitment to supporting the technology. TI would be killed as a company if they pulled the same stunts Sony and for that matter JVC/Hughes has by abruptly pulling out of the market.

Sony has a shitty record of continuing support for their products..just ask anyone with an SDDS system.

I was told of a client who initially was interested in Sony's 4k projector who ended up going with Christie after they had met with Sony's DCCS people...they were appalled by Sony's attitude of we (Sony) are the ONLY ones who can install and maintain the equipment....they would NOT allow the client to use their own preferred vendor to purchase and install the equipment.

Now THAT'S a prime example of putting yourself in the hands of ONE company. With Sony's past record with SDDS would YOU trust them to be the SOLE vendor for your D-Cinema solution?

[thumbsdown]
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-09-2009, 05:44 PM:
 
quote: Tony Bandiera Jr
just ask anyone with an SDDS system
Or just ask anyone thats ever had anything to do with anything broadcast related from Sony... pathetic parts support at best. Not that the gear is bad... on the contrary... its some of the best made but plan on using it for 5 or less years... after that parts availability from Sony is very wishy washy at best and beyond expensive... what ever that is...
quote: Tony Bandiera Jr
I was told of a client who initially was interested in Sony's 4k projector who ended up going with Christie after they had met with Sony's DCCS people...they were appalled by Sony's attitude of we (Sony) are the ONLY ones who can install and maintain the equipment....they would NOT allow the client to use their own preferred vendor to purchase and install the equipment.

That musta been our client!! He also calculated in his head whilst dealing with the Sony folks at Showorst that the $83,000 dollar projector would cost him $190,000 dollars(each) by the end of the lease period. The service expense(by Sony) also goes up after the warranty expires... [Eek!] . Seems like even they don't trust their own gear after the tag goes ding...

Mark
 
Posted by Bruce Hansen (Member # 281) on 04-09-2009, 07:34 PM:
 
I would think that, as part of such a huge deal, Sony pix would insure that there is plenty of 4K stuff to play on those projectors. That would give AMC a leg up on their competition.

I hear a lot of whining about SDDS, but no one seams to have another example. Sony has had a lot of supper successes, such as the trinatron(sp?) tube, the walkman, the CD walkmen, and on and on. Any company that is out there trying, will have a failure now and then. The only way not to fail, is to not try; but isn't that failure as well?

Mark, I work in broadcast. and I have not problem with Sony parts. Their cameras are very good, and their tape machines are the standard. You want to complain about someone, look at Painasonic (panasonic). M format, then M2 format that were complleatly incompatible, and had lots of problems. Painasonic stoped supporting them quickly. Then D3, which sucked, and Painasonic stoped supporting them quickly. How many different incompatible versions of DV (Damaged Video) are there? And their cameras suck. Sony has made tape machines backwards compatible.
 
Posted by Tony Bandiera Jr (Member # 2365) on 04-10-2009, 01:13 AM:
 
quote: Bruce Hansen
I hear a lot of whining about SDDS, but no one seams to have another example.
OK, how about Betamax?

In all technical aspects, a superior format to VHS, (as in some ways SDDS has better quality that Dolby or DTS..when it works...) but Sony's refusal to be smart and license other manufacturers to build the machines (and IIRC for some time even make the blank tapes) is what killed off the format. Despite some fairly decent numbers of Betamax decks sold, Sony, rather than keeping consumer faith by continuing to support the format just abruptly dropped all support. Just like SDDS..and the broadcast gear Mark mentioned.

By contrast, look at Laserdisc.... Pioneer continued to support it for a LONG time after DVD totally took over the market..and they licensed other brands to make Laserdisc players early on.

And Panasonic was one of those makers..and I have found out they can still repair my 15-year old Laserdisc player. I can't speak for Panasonic's pro gear, but I have NEVER had any trouble with their consumer gear.

I DO agree with you that the incompatible formats of tape with Panasonic pro gear IS stupid. [Smile]

I have used and encountered a lot of Mini-DV (is that the same thing you're talking about?) and again it's been pretty trouble-free for me...
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-10-2009, 08:43 AM:
 
quote: Bruce Hansen
Sony pix would insure that there is plenty of 4K stuff to play on those projectors
You can't have multiplex's full of 4K projectors and one studio supporting them... what good is that? As it stands now Sony has a fair amount of 4K material but then again Sony doesn't have alot of releases per year that do very well so then what's the point, no one's going to go see them.

My point in case was not the quality of Sony gear but the rate at which they discontinue parts for them. Also the Broadcast division's pricing is on the moon!! I happen to own some Sony gear... DXC cameras and Beta Cam recorders and decks. The other day I had to replace the lithium memory battery in the BVW-50... Sony wanted 82.00 for the Maxell battery but Battery Specialists charged me only 14.00 for the exact same battery. I could go on about other Sony parts prices.... Sony's pricing is by far the more rediclous of the bunch. I used to work for Panasonic's Video division but this was back in the toobe camera days and personally knowing some of their philosophy I think they did the right thing by junking the M format. Also, alot of the networks are using Panasonic's H-D cameras so they can't be all that bad, they also covered a major portion of the last Olympics... but I'll still take an Ikegami any day over any other camera brand out there.

I am restoring a couple of Ikegami HL-79E's for a Film-Techer that frequents these threads and these cameras under daylight look considerably better than my recent Sony DXC camera does. In low light the Sony S/N is far better but both cameras are doing just about the the same amount of rez. and the color from the Ikegami is amazing.

Mark
 
Posted by Bobby Henderson (Member # 840) on 04-10-2009, 11:35 AM:
 
quote: Tony Bandiera Jr
TI HAS licensed it's DLP imager to many manufacturers for home, commercial AND D-Cinema uses.
Unfortunately, Texas Instruments' business in selling DLP for consumer electronics is cratering. Rear projection screen televisions, whether they're based on DLP, LCOS, etc., are dead. The market is very small for front projection screen systems in consumer electronics. Flat panel televisions overwhelmingly dominate the market.

The only area where I see DLP holding on in any sort of consumer area is in computer projectors. But even there those projectors are in trouble. You have to shell out a LOT of money if you want a DLP driven computer projector that has an acceptably high level of image resolution and bulb brightness. Many of the office conference rooms I visit are hanging large flat panel TV screens on the wall or down from the ceiling.

How well will TI be able to support its DLP technology once the market for it in homes and offices disappears? Sony may be in the same sort of pickle with its LCOS gear.

Intel had big plans to mass produce LCOS chips for HDTV displays, but quickly pulled the plug on that operation when they saw the direction where HDTV technology was headed.
 
Posted by Lyle Romer (Member # 1266) on 04-10-2009, 12:08 PM:
 
I've noticed that TI has even stopped advertising DLP on TV.

I guess one benefit is that if they stay around producing DLP for D-cinema at least D-Dinema technology will be something different than what most people have at home.
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-10-2009, 02:14 PM:
 
DCinema isn't large enough to support it...in fact it has always been in red ink. Last I heard, the DLP engineering was down to something on the order of two engineers with zero R&D budget.

For front projection on the low-cost side...LCD is stomping all over DLP. The only area DLP dominates is large venue projection...unfortunately, that can't support such a technology..it can only augment it.

Steve
 
Posted by Bobby Henderson (Member # 840) on 04-10-2009, 04:00 PM:
 
It costs so much money in research and development to create something like a DLP chip and another fortune to manufacture it. For the venture to be profitable the chips must be produced on a massive scale -millions of units.

How many digital projection systems are being installed in theaters during a given year? 1000-2000 currently? Even if the number was 50,000 (which would be very impressive) the chip count from all those projectors wouldn't be enough to sustain DLP on its own. DLP needs the consumer electronics market and personal computing market in order to survive.
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-10-2009, 06:56 PM:
 
Bingo!

However...to drive the point home even more...

If EVERY theatre tomorrow installed a new DLP DCinema projector (including the ones that already have them)...that would be 137,000 x 3 chips per machine or 411,000 chips this year. Now what? You have 100% of the market...and on that steller year, you didn't hit your nut. Soooo, it dies instantly on the following year where new-builds may cause 1000 chips to be sold....after a time it may settle on 3000 or so chips a year to handle failures, new-builds and trade ups. In short, it can't support itself.

No matter how many people tap dance around it, DLP can't support itself and can't be done on small scale profitably.

LCoS has some promise as it is a much cheaper technology to do. I also feel that ultimately, it will not be a projection technology but more of the screen being the light source as technology so allows. This would apply to homes, theatres billboards...etc...it would not need to be technology specifically for cinema.
 
Posted by Bobby Henderson (Member # 840) on 04-10-2009, 09:46 PM:
 
LED is dominating the cutting edge of the billboard business. It has brightness levels that stand up to sunlight. No traditional back-lit screen technology can do that. LED also has another advantage. It isn't confined to two dimensional shapes. LED-based displays can curve around broad contours, spiral and a lot of other crazy stuff.

Unfortunately, RGB LED clusters have far too coarse a pitch between pixel centers to function in any traditional TV screen or movie screen viewing environment. And the cost per pixel is too high for that as well. They're great for billboards, scoreboard jumbotrons, etc. But for true HD quality viewing you're going to spend a giant sized wad of money for something LED based.

I really want to visit the new Texas Stadium in Arlington to see that new 600 ton jumbotron hanged from the ceiling directly over the football field. It stretches from one 20 yard line to the other 20 yard line. The two large LED displays have better than 1080p pixel counts. And there's two decent sized LED displays facing each goal post. Really impressive. But very expensive.
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-11-2009, 04:12 PM:
 
quote: Steve Guttag
Now what?
Theaters are still being built and manufacturers come out with new models that require more chips. There are other areas where 1.2" and .98 dlp is also being used that you obviously have not thought about.

Mark
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-11-2009, 05:51 PM:
 
Oh no...I have thought about them...large venue is about it and that is not enough sales to keep it going...I was merely pointing out how insignificant Cinema is to a semiconductor manufacturer's needs. I also allowed for new-builds/upgrades.

Its market too tiny.
 
Posted by Mark Gulbrandsen (Member # 72) on 04-11-2009, 07:19 PM:
 
Actually when you stop and think about it the DLP design is quite mature for any semiconductor design. It wouldn't require much R&D at this point to keep the few software updates and so on going so the downsizing makes perfect sense. As for the longevity of an operating DLP chip... only time will tell there... no one really knows how long a DLP chip itself actually lasts. T.I. shutting down things doesn't worry me a bit because enough chips can easily be produced and shelved by both T.I. and projector manufacturers to last a couple of decades. The thing you obviously do miss is the spin off technology a thing like DLP produces that allows advancements in other semiconductor areas. And for that alone you can be quite sure that T.I. has no regrets about it running in the red.

Like film, audio, and video tape companies have done... all things very difficult to manufacture... it would also be a practical and easy division to spin off to someone else. This has happened countless times over the last 30 years in the semiconductor industry. Anyway, by the time that two decades of chips is exhausted I'll probably be gone and the world will be using a far more modern technology... that is if theaters still exist as they do today.

Mark
 
Posted by Steve Guttag (Member # 268) on 04-11-2009, 08:28 PM:
 
Actually, TI is most embarassed by the DLP failure...it isn't that it doesn't work...it is that it did not live up to its potential profit wise. I'll bet their stock holders also wish it didn't operate in the red. I find it totally ironic that DLP would report to TI's analog divison now.

If TI ceases all production of DLP...do you really think that projector manufacturers are going to continue to manufacture DLP? Seriously? Do your customers really think that DLP 2K stuff is or should be end-game for DLP? How many times a day do you get the question about 4K DLP? I know I sure get asked about it. 2K sound just too "home-technology" and it really lacks depth.

Steve
 




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