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» Film-Tech Forum ARCHIVE   » Operations   » Ground Level   » Speed Racer: Big or Bust? (Page 6)

 
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Author Topic: Speed Racer: Big or Bust?
Bill Gabel
Film God

Posts: 3873
From: Technicolor / Postworks NY, USA
Registered: Jan 2002


 - posted 05-12-2008 06:46 AM      Profile for Bill Gabel   Email Bill Gabel   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The Weekend Estimates from Box Office Mojo show.

Iron Man at $50,500,000 on 4111 screens, average $12,284

Speed Racer at $20,210,000 on 3606 screens, average $5,604

What Happens in Vegas at $20,000,000 on 3215 screens, average $6,220

Final Studio Numbers [Big Grin] later today or tomorrow because it's SOOO chose. In Hollywood math formulas [Cool]

For those interested in International numbers, "Speed Racer" came in Third Place with around $12.8 Million in 30 countries. "Iron Man" did around $39 Million in it's second week International. "What Happened in Vegas" is estimated at $23 Million in 36 countries.

[ 05-12-2008, 01:36 PM: Message edited by: Bill Gabel ]

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Mark J. Marshall
Film God

Posts: 3188
From: New Castle, DE, USA
Registered: Aug 2002


 - posted 05-12-2008 07:19 AM      Profile for Mark J. Marshall     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Brad Allen
$20mil opening.
Someone called it. Nice job! [thumbsup]

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Shane Cooper
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 232
From: Little Rock, Arkansas
Registered: Jun 2004


 - posted 05-12-2008 06:55 PM      Profile for Shane Cooper   Email Shane Cooper   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Here are the revised numbers from Box Office Mojo:

1) Iron Man - $51,190,629 Average $12,452
2) What Happens In Vegas - $20,172,474 Average - $6,274
3) Speed Racer - $18,561,337 Average - $5,147

[bs] mmm...smell it!

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 05-12-2008 07:19 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The fate of Speed Racer will be even more telling with the returns from this next weekend.

It's one thing for Iron Man to see a 50% drop from an opening weekend gross of just over $100 million (not too bad a situation). IMHO, it would be worse for Speed Racer to give up the same 50% drop, going from $18.5 million to $9.25 million the next weekend. If the movie does that it may not be able to stay in theaters through the end of the month. And it may not anyway, depending on how many screens get gobbled up by Indy and Narnia.

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David Stambaugh
Film God

Posts: 4021
From: Eugene, Oregon
Registered: Jan 2002


 - posted 05-12-2008 07:30 PM      Profile for David Stambaugh   Author's Homepage   Email David Stambaugh   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
  • Speed Racer will drop at least 60% in Week 2 and lose some screens (unless they're locked in).
  • By Week 3 it will have 1 screen per plex instead of multiple screens. At some locations it will be matinees only in Week 3.
  • By Week 4 it will be matinees only no matter where.
  • By Week 5 it will be at the dollar theaters.
I could be overly-optimistic though. [Big Grin]

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Mike Spaeth
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1129
From: Marietta, GA
Registered: Jul 2000


 - posted 05-12-2008 08:20 PM      Profile for Mike Spaeth   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Spaeth   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I already dropped a screen at one of the theatres I book for Week 2.

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James Westbrook
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1133
From: Lubbock, Texas, Usa
Registered: Mar 2006


 - posted 05-13-2008 01:44 AM      Profile for James Westbrook   Email James Westbrook   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Predction: Speed Racer will go sub-run before July 4. Maybe before Father's Day.

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Paul Gordon
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 580
From: Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Registered: Aug 2005


 - posted 05-13-2008 07:11 AM      Profile for Paul Gordon   Author's Homepage   Email Paul Gordon   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
No Sub will want it though! what a piece of crap... and in Imax! think of all that wasted 70mm film

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Jonathan M. Crist
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 531
From: Hershey, PA, USA
Registered: Apr 2000


 - posted 05-13-2008 08:45 AM      Profile for Jonathan M. Crist   Email Jonathan M. Crist   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
WB has a national policy of holding all sub-run ($3.00 and under) theatres back on a particular title until WB sets a national sub-run release date for that title.

I have never seen a national sub-run release date for a WB picture set less than 6 to 8 weeks from initial date of release (and sometime later than that) regardless of how bad the picture does at the boxoffice.

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Bill Gabel
Film God

Posts: 3873
From: Technicolor / Postworks NY, USA
Registered: Jan 2002


 - posted 05-13-2008 08:51 AM      Profile for Bill Gabel   Email Bill Gabel   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Any DVD/video release date yet. [Big Grin]

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Edwin Schwing
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 116
From: Las Vegas NV
Registered: May 2002


 - posted 05-14-2008 02:06 AM      Profile for Edwin Schwing   Email Edwin Schwing   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
WOW!

So much attention to Speed Racer.....'s low grosses.

Talking about sub-run already. DVD releases too!

I am asking, has there never been a movie that grossed under 20 million in its first week?

If every theatre expected every movie to gross 20+ million in the first week of May, maybe they are in the wrong business.

I don't see anyone pointing that out yet!

Speed Racer is a movie just like every other movie. So it didn't make 20 mil on the break. BFD!!!

E

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Brad Miller
Administrator

Posts: 17775
From: Plano, TX (36.2 miles NW of Rockwall)
Registered: May 99


 - posted 05-14-2008 03:08 AM      Profile for Brad Miller   Author's Homepage   Email Brad Miller       Edit/Delete Post 
Looks like the DVD release is set for July 8th.

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Kurt Zupin
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 989
From: Maricopa, Arizona
Registered: Oct 2004


 - posted 05-14-2008 03:47 AM      Profile for Kurt Zupin   Email Kurt Zupin   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Edwin the big deal is this movie was supposed to be "BIG" it was supposed to do 50 mil opening weekend. For what it cost them to make it, this is a huge BOMB! Iron Man did 50 mil its second weekend and will most likley do 20-30 again this weekend. Speed Racer was just one GIANT disaster, no matter how you cut the cake!

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James Westbrook
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1133
From: Lubbock, Texas, Usa
Registered: Mar 2006


 - posted 05-14-2008 12:37 PM      Profile for James Westbrook   Email James Westbrook   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Speaking of Warner Brothers, I almost popped a blood vessel when I found the running time on Sex and The City is 142 minutes. WHAT could possibly be in THAT movie that dictates a long running time?
Do we watch them go SHOPPING all through the movie?

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Darryl Spicer
Film God

Posts: 3250
From: Lexington, KY, USA
Registered: Dec 2000


 - posted 05-14-2008 12:47 PM      Profile for Darryl Spicer     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
That's so the husbands and boy friends can take a long deserved nap during the movie. [Big Grin]

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