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This topic comprises 8 pages: 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 
 
Author Topic: Are there too many "tentpoles?"
Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 07-23-2013 01:03 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
Well, you sure are wrong Bob. Comparing an Avatar sequel to Ghostbusters 2, Robocop 2 and Speed 2 is a bit silly.
News flash, Terry: Avatar 2 has not been released yet. Declaring it as a sure fire hit years before anyone sees it is crazy. Do you enjoy gambling?

quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
I guess you never saw the sequel to Alien or the sequel to Terminator, both are James Cameron films in case you were not sure, both were successful and both were good, but perhaps they were not your thing.
I'll return that ignorant assumption by saying you never met a sequel you didn't like. Are you on pins and needles, hoping and praying for the release of Ishtar 2?

No director alive is immune from a success streak coming to an end. Not even James Cameron is immune to it. Even though Avatar made a lot of money, there are quite a few people out there that hated it. Let's also remember The Abyss didn't do very well in it original theatrical release.

quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
Bobby, the "film look" is done. End of story.
BULLSHIT. If the "film look" was done every single movie shot with a video camera would keep the video looking like video, with its soap opera, 6 o'clock news wide RGB gamma "warts and all" present for everyone to see. No one would be pulling all the color grading tricks in post production to try to make video look like film. The only "end of story" moment that's going to occur is when they finally succeed with the technology in the cameras and post production tools.

quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
Part 2 apparently is going to be motion capture under water. I am excited to see this.
WTF? I'm talking about the story line for Avatar 2, not the cake-icing technology to render giant blue kitteh beings.

quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
The Silence of the Lambs was a bad example.
You say that's a bad example of unconventional release timing (outside of the normal convention of cramming as many would-be hits into the May-July period). Please PROVE why The Silence of the Lambs is a bad example of this with specifics. Merely calling it a "bad example" isn't really saying anything.

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Aaron Garman
Phenomenal Film Handler

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From: Toledo, OH USA
Registered: Mar 2003


 - posted 07-23-2013 02:36 PM      Profile for Aaron Garman   Email Aaron Garman   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Don't feed the trolls...

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

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From: Forsyth, Montana
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 - posted 07-23-2013 02:50 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Bobby Henderson
Avatar 2 has not been released yet.
It'll have a huge opening for sure. How it does in week 2 will be the REAL interesting number.

I've never seen the public's enthusiasm on a movie go from "amazing" to "eh" as fast as that one did. People are already buzzing about the next Star Wars movie in 2015 -- but I've never yet heard anyone say they can't wait for "Avatar 2."

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Manny Knowles
"What are these things and WHY are they BLUE???"

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From: Bloomington, IN, USA
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 - posted 07-23-2013 03:09 PM      Profile for Manny Knowles   Email Manny Knowles   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
How did AVATAR do on video? Shouldn't that provide some insight regarding whether people REALLY liked what they saw?

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Marcel Birgelen
Film God

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From: Maastricht, Limburg, Netherlands
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 - posted 07-23-2013 03:46 PM      Profile for Marcel Birgelen   Email Marcel Birgelen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Avatar did "pretty well" on video, at least in the US, Canada and the UK:

Avatar set a first-day launch record in the U.S. for Blu-ray sales at 1.5 million units sold, breaking the record previously held by The Dark Knight (600,000 units sold). First-day DVD and Blu-ray sales combined were over 4 million units sold. In its first four days of release, sales of Avatar on Blu-ray reached 2.7 million in the United States and Canada – overtaking The Dark Knight to become the best ever selling Blu-ray release in the region. The release later broke the Blu-ray sales record in the UK the following week. In its first three weeks of release, the film sold a total of 19.7 million DVD and Blu-ray discs combined, a new record for sales in that period. As of July 18, 2012, DVD sales (not including Blu-ray) totaled over 10.5 million units sold with $190,806,055 million in revenue.

Source: Wikipedia

And I'm sure that the opening of Avatar 2 will be huge, since there are obviously quite some fans of the "franchise". But if it will ever reach the level of the first movie has to be seen.

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Sam D. Chavez
Film God

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From: Martinez, CA USA
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 - posted 07-23-2013 04:04 PM      Profile for Sam D. Chavez   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I like Bobby's latest points and the attitude with which they are presented.

But, I'm starting to think this is maybe a pretty well informed troll we've seen here before under a different name.

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 07-23-2013 04:19 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
It's difficult to find a definitive, up to date list. Just from doing some quick searching Avatar isn't in the top 10 in terms of DVDs sold. Finding Nemo is the #1 best seller.

Avatar might rank higher in Blu-ray sales ranking, but I wonder if a couple odd marketing decisions might actually push it down on that list too. The movie hasn't been discounted the way most other movies on Blu-ray are discounted over time. I guess they're trying to keep Disney style pricing applied. And then there was the insanely stupid move to sell the Blu-ray 3D version of Avatar exclusively in a bundled package with Panasonic 3D capable HDTV sets for over 2 years. Now that a BD3D version of Avatar is available openly on store shelves hardly anyone gives a shit about it -much less 3DTV for that matter.
[Razz]

And that brings up another thing that could work against Avatar 2: movie-goer ticket price fatigue. I think there is clear evidence more and more movie-goers have gotten fed up with being dinged an extra $3-$5 for 3D, HDTV resolution fake giant format and surround sound that actually kind of works, but is more loud than it is great. I see more theaters pushing alternative 2D show times when in the past they would show more movies only in a higher priced 3D version. By the time 2015 rolls around and the release date of Avatar 2 draws near I'm certain theaters will have raised standard ticket prices another buck or two, making the surcharge prices even more expensive.

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Edward Havens
Jedi Master Film Handler

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From: Los Angeles, CA
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 - posted 07-23-2013 05:21 PM      Profile for Edward Havens   Email Edward Havens   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The problem with this entire discussion, in my not so humble opinion, is what defines a "tentpole" and what defines a "blockbuster?"

Pacific Rim is a "bomb" because it "only" opened to $37m. Yet if this had opened in January and done the exact same business, it'd be the second biggest January opening ever.

There really are only four weeks which are box office poison: the weekend before Labor Day, Labor Day weekend, the weekend after Labor Day, and the first weekend in December. The other 48 weekends have shown one can open a big movie, or two, or three, and see audiences go out to the movies. But they have to be movies they want to see. It doesn't matter how good of a movie Pacific Rim is, and it's a pretty good movie, but if the masses do not want to see a movie about giant robots fighting giant monsters, they just are not going to see it. The only reason my wife and I went to see Pacific Rim is because of three actors in the film: Ron Perlman, Charlie Day and Burn Gorman. But we're strange people, who'd see a Kaiju movie because of supporting actors rather than the director or the premise.

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Manny Knowles
"What are these things and WHY are they BLUE???"

Posts: 4247
From: Bloomington, IN, USA
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 - posted 07-23-2013 05:30 PM      Profile for Manny Knowles   Email Manny Knowles   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Bobby, I am not arguing with you coz basically I agree with what you're saying...

...but have you considered..?

People are stupid.

If you had told me back in 2002 that people were going to pay what we're paying to go to the movies these days, I would've doubted.

Alas, here we are!

These days, I have no doubts that people would line up and pay $30 to see a movie during theatrical release. (This could be what Spielberg was alluding to when he talked about future release models employing a Broadway-style treatment.)

But the stupidity of people isn't limited to consumption of movies. Look at what's happened to our food situation. Look at what's going on with credit card interest. 29%APR is not uncommon.

And look at what's going on with air travel. You can't even "reserve" a ticket anymore. You have to buy it right there and then. And if you want to make changes, it's gonna cost you $150. Checking bags? That'll cost you $100 per bag.

And then there's the TSA.

People are tolerating all of this.

Slippery slopes and lots of bending over. And no end in sight.

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Marcel Birgelen
Film God

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From: Maastricht, Limburg, Netherlands
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 - posted 07-23-2013 05:52 PM      Profile for Marcel Birgelen   Email Marcel Birgelen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Edward Havens
The problem with this entire discussion, in my not so humble opinion, is what defines a "tentpole" and what defines a "blockbuster?"
In this discussion, I think there is very little difference... A tent pole is nothing more than a production that's been planned to be a blockbuster and hence receives "adequate" upfront funding for both production and marketing.

quote: Edward Havens
Pacific Rim is a "bomb" because it "only" opened to $37m. Yet if this had opened in January and done the exact same business, it'd be the second biggest January opening ever.
Obviously it depends on the price that has been paid to make that movie. With a price tag of an estimated $180M excluding marketing costs and the steep competition of other movies in the same league, it will be hard to break even for this movie. Especially because this movie is expected to recoup most of its initial investments in the first weeks, because of the limited theatrical run-time. Hence, this movie has already been declared a bomb and it probably will be.

quote: Manny Knowles
Slippery slopes and lots of bending over. And no end in sight.
At least we've got the Internet now to complain about it, that will probably solve everything, right? [Wink]

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Terry Lynn-Stevens
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From: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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 - posted 07-23-2013 08:41 PM      Profile for Terry Lynn-Stevens   Email Terry Lynn-Stevens   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Bobby Henderson was the last to post
a bad example
Bobby, it is a bad example, period. What you conveniently fail to mention is that between the years 1982 and 2002, only five movies had grossed close to what Silence of the Lambs grossed when they were released in the first 12 months of the year, those five surpassed the $100 million mark. It was a fluke what Silence of the Lambs did in 1991. And Silence of the Lambs is not a fucking tentpole movie, so why did you bring it up?

Only in the last ten years have the studios a bit better, but for the most part, $200-$300 grosses are generally unheard of in the Jan-Feb months. $200-$300 are also rare in the month of March.

quote: Marcel Birgelen
Obviously it depends on the price that has been paid to make that movie. With a price tag of an estimated $180M excluding marketing costs and the steep competition of other movies in the same league, it will be hard to break even for this movie
Pacific Rim has now grossed back its production budget. It should break even or at least make some profit.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

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 - posted 07-23-2013 09:43 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Terry Lynn-Stevens
Only in the last ten years have the studios a bit better, but for the most part, $200-$300 grosses are generally unheard of in the Jan-Feb months. $200-$300 are also rare in the month of March.
That's only because the studios never release anything that's actually good in those months -- or they'll release movies that are aimed at small audience segments. They heap all the family and general-audience stuff in the summer and Christmas and "cancel each other out" once the opening weekend is past.

If Iron Man 3 had come out February 1, it would have done just as well as it did in May. Maybe even better, because it would have had no competition and no "Man of Steel" breathing down its neck.

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Justin Hamaker
Film God

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 - posted 07-23-2013 09:56 PM      Profile for Justin Hamaker   Author's Homepage   Email Justin Hamaker   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I think this thread is in need of some definition of terms.

A tent-pole release is one the studio sees at holding up their slate of movies over the year. It's one of the few the studio is hoping will be major hits at the box office. Often it's a big budget picture, but not necessarily.

A blockbuster is supposed to be a movie so popular that it has people lining up around the block in hopes of getting a ticket. This has been reduced to a generic term to define any movie which brings in more than $100M(?).

The point is that a tent-pole is a movie the studio hangs it hopes on before it's released, while a blockbuster describes the performance of a movie once it's been released. While the terms often apply to the same movies, they do not mean the same thing and they are not interchangeable.

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Terry Lynn-Stevens
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From: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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 - posted 07-23-2013 10:04 PM      Profile for Terry Lynn-Stevens   Email Terry Lynn-Stevens   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Justin Hamaker
I think this thread is in need of some definition of terms.

A tent-pole release is one the studio sees at holding up their slate of movies over the year. It's one of the few the studio is hoping will be major hits at the box office. Often it's a big budget picture, but not necessarily.

A blockbuster is supposed to be a movie so popular that it has people lining up around the block in hopes of getting a ticket. This has been reduced to a generic term to define any movie which brings in more than $100M(?).

The point is that a tent-pole is a movie the studio hangs it hopes on before it's released, while a blockbuster describes the performance of a movie once it's been released. While the terms often apply to the same movies, they do not mean the same thing and they are not interchangeable.

Some good points Justin.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

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From: Forsyth, Montana
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 - posted 07-23-2013 11:14 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hmm somebody needs to read the FAQ about quoting the post directly above.

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