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This topic comprises 5 pages: 1 2 3 4 5
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Topic: Your choice of five films this year.
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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99
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posted 05-24-2004 01:20 PM
Shrek 2's success isn't surprising in the least.
- Everyone who saw the first one loved it (except Brad, who merely liked it), and it got rave reviews.
- People who didn't see SHREK 1 in the theatre, bought the video for their kids and wound up loving the movie on video, further priming the pump.
- The sequel got good reviews, including many saying it is better than the first film, cementing the want-to-see.
Furthermore, the movie has been getting great word of mouth and, as we all know, has a scene buried in the end credits that delivers one of the biggest laughs of the movie. Once all the "early departure" people hear from their friends about that scene, many of them will want to see the movie again. I look for a small drop next weekend.
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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003
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posted 05-25-2004 07:01 AM
Looks like you are wrong again KD. Anymore "disappointments" you wish to estimate on?
Here is the story quote: 'Shrek 2' Lands Far, Far Ahead of Summer Pack by Brandon Gray May 24, 2004
HOLLYWOOD (Box Office Mojo) – A fractured fairy tale broke records as it mended a heretofore soft summer.
The widest release ever yielded the biggest single day gross ever, the highest bow ever for an animated movie (topping Finding Nemo's $70.3 million), the second best weekend ever (behind only Spider-Man's $114.8 million) and the first uber-opening of the summer.
The $70 million Shrek 2 raked in a whopping $108.0 million over the weekend at 4,163 theaters, bringing its five-day haul to $129.0 million since debuting Wednesday -- the third biggest 5-day bow ever. It beat DreamWorks' $104.3 million estimate by $3.7 million, thanks to a stronger than expected Sunday.
"This was well beyond any expectations," DreamWorks head of distribution Jim Tharp told Box Office Mojo, though he added that public awareness of the picture was already up 92% four weeks prior to the release. "Opening on a Wednesday, word-of-mouth was that this was not a cheater, and a great follow-up to first movie," he noted.
DreamWorks' exit polling indicated that 60% of moviegoers were families -- the first Shrek, like most animated movies, was 80% family out-of-the-gate and then fell to 60% in later weeks -- suggesting a broadening of the audience since the original. Among families, 60% were mothers and 40% were dads, while 55% were girls and 45% were boys. Among non-families, it was a 50/50 split between males and females and those over and under the age of 25. Moviegoers loved the picture overall as 81% rated it "excellent" and 11% "very good." Over 70% said they would see the movie again.
Breaking the weekend down, Shrek 2 devoured $28.3 million on Friday. It then jumped 58% on Saturday to an astonishing $44.8 million, topping Spider-Man's $43.6 million Saturday as the largest single day gross of all time. In other words, its Saturday alone topped the first Shrek's entire $42.3 million opening weekend. On Sunday morning, DreamWorks projected Shrek 2 to fall 31% to $31.1 million on Sunday, but that turned out to be conservative as it ended up easing just 22% to $34.9 million -- more in line with the first Shrek and Finding Nemo which fell 24% and 21% respectively for their Sunday drops.
Prior to the weekend, Shrek 2 was already a record-breaker when DreamWorks announced it broke the 4,000-theater milestone with its 4,163 count, topping Spider-Man's 3,876 fourth weekend count as the widest release ever. Shrek 2 was simply following in the footsteps of its predecessor, which reached a then record 3,715 in its fourth weekend. To put its theater count into further perspective, according to the National Organization of Theaters Owners, there are 5,659 indoor theaters in the country (and 35,139 screens). DreamWorks will not disclose how many screens the movie is playing on.
"It's a well known movie and we needed to get out in from of Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban," Tharp explained the bold release pattern.
Shrek 2 is now well-positioned to become the #1 movie of the summer, just as its predecessor reigned over summer 2001 with its $267.7 million haul. For the past five years straight, the title-holder was spawned in May -- The Phantom Menace in 1999, Mission Impossible 2 in 2000, Shrek in 2001, Spider-Man in 2002 and Finding Nemo last year. Going into the season, common wisdom had Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban and Spider-Man 2 as the movies to beat for the crown, but 'Shrek 2' is on a $330 million plus trajectory – the rosy end of Harry and Spidey prognostications.
When Shrek 2 garnered $11.8 million on Wednesday, DreamWorks was heralding the dubious milestone of "biggest mid-week opening for an animated movie," topping Pokemon: The First Movie's $10.1 million. Turns out, only two days later, they would find such groping for records would be unnecessary.
Though Shrek 2 was huge on Wednesday and Thursday, grossing $20.9
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