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Author Topic: Your choice of five films this year.
Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 06-01-2004 07:47 AM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Seems to me although that Day After Tomorrow wasn't that good, other people liked it. Another prediction gone sour......$155million worldwide is pretty damn good to me.

The Info

Globe Warms to 'Day After Tomorrow'
by Brandon Gray
May 31, 2004



HOLLYWOOD (Box Office Mojo) – Audiences around the world stormed theaters showing The Day After Tomorrow over the weekend.

Playing domestically and in 102 countries overseas, the $125 million disaster picture raked in an estimated $155 million through Sunday. Distributor 20th Century Fox noted that was the top non-sequel worldwide bow ever, and the movie has yet to debut in major markets Japan and South Korea. The overall worldwide opening record still belongs to The Return of the King, which earned $250.1 million in its first five days domestically and in 28 territories.

Overseas alone accounted for an estimated $85 million. Breaking the regions down, Day pulled in $53.9 million from Europe, $19.2 million from Asia and $11.9 million from Latin America.

Domestically, director Roland Emmerich's eco-epic took in an estimated $70 million at 3,425 theaters for its three-day Memorial frame, delivering the biggest opening ever for a disaster picture -- eclipsing Emmerich's own Independence Day's $50.2 million.

Despite the scorching box office, Day nonetheless landed at No. 2, behind Shrek 2's estimated $72.2 million second weekend. Prior to the ornery ogre's return, no one had forecasted such an order or result for the Memorial frame, but the marketplace grew to accommodate both pictures and posted the highest grossing top 12 ever: $186.2 million. Indeed, Day also holds the peculiar record for biggest non-No. 1 debut ever, nearly doubling former title holder Lilo and Stitch's $35.3 million.

For the four-day holiday weekend, Fox is estimating $86 million, which, if it holds, is nearly identical to last year's Memorial opener Bruce Almighty's $85.7 million. Though a comedy, that Jim Carrey picture also featured weather-related shenanigans. Bruce led its weekend to a then four-day Memorial top 12 record of $193.5 million, but Day's frame came in at $234 million -- a 21% improvement.

"The marketplace expanded incredibly," Fox head of distribution Bruce Snyder told Box Office Mojo, citing "the quality of the two pictures." "About 40 million tickets were sold this weekend, and I think there's still room for more. I think it will expand again when Harry Potter opens next weekend. Day After Tomorrow and Shrek aren't just going to go away."

Snyder suggested that the reason for Day's success is that it's "good, popcorn, summer escapist fare." "It's a thrill ride and ends in a positive way," he said.

Day was buoyed by a massive marketing effort that even included a 10-minute preview amidst Fox TV's American Idol juggernaut. In addition to ubiquity, the ads were effective -- like the exploding White House of Independence Day, Day's frozen Statue of Liberty is arguably the most concise and striking hook of the summer (although the "Watch Lady Liberty Get Wiped Out" line of some of its ads was of questionable taste albeit honest about the appeal).

Chatter in the media about Al Gore and his environmentalist cronies stumping for Day probably had little effect on business other than to help raise the profile -- with such an immense opening the movie was clearly not seen as a political statement, but simply as mass entertainment (though some people's impression may have changed after viewing it). A four-year drought of event-style disaster pictures also enhanced audience interest.

According to studio exit polling, Day played across the board. On Friday, the audience was 52.5% under the age of 25 and 49.6% male. On Saturday, it skewed older with 58.5% over 25 and 50.9% male. At press time, Fox didn't have information available on moviegoers' reactions, but so far Box Office Mojo readers have graded it a C+, while Yahoo! Movies users have rated it a B.

Breaking the weekend down, Day amassed an estimated $24.0 million on Friday, inched up 0.8% on Saturday -- the lowest increase on record for a Memorial opener -- to an estimated $24.2 million and then eased 9.9% to an estimated $21.8 million on Sunday. Fox is projecting a 26.6% dip on Monday to $16.0 million.

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Tim Lockridge
Film Handler

Posts: 20
From: Indiana, USA
Registered: Jul 2002


 - posted 06-01-2004 12:11 PM      Profile for Tim Lockridge   Email Tim Lockridge   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Kamakshipalya Dhananjay
Anyway, I hate somewhat, after all the war-mongering here, to admit that the most basic premise of my prediction - that of the Summer Boxoffice remaining near 2003 levels - is almost cracking. With this, I cannot sustain my predictions. I will not. I could not imagine that the Memorial Day Weekend could throw up two films near the 100 million mark. I was wrong. With Shrek-2 and TDAT. At this rate, I am not sure what to give Harry Potter-3.

If Troy makes 150 million, I would be right on my "choice of 5 films". That Van Helsing looks unlikely to cross 120 million, my prediction that it will specifically fall short of 100 million ....

I vote that we close this thread.

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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 06-01-2004 12:18 PM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
agreed

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Jeremy Fuentes
Mmmm, Dr. Pepper!

Posts: 1168
From: Corpus Christi, TX United States
Registered: Jan 2004


 - posted 06-01-2004 12:34 PM      Profile for Jeremy Fuentes   Email Jeremy Fuentes   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Doesnt really matter to me.

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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 06-08-2004 07:58 AM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Kamakshipalya Dhananjay


My prediction for B.O. disappointments this year.

1. The Day After Tomorrow

2. Alien V Predator

3. King Arthur

4. Harry Potter And The Prisoner of Azbakan

5. Shrek 2

6. Garfield

7. I,Robot

8. Skycaptain And The World of Tomorrow

9. Around the World in 80 days

10.Van Helsing.


Just thought I'd give a little update on grosses here.
Match the number up with the proper film.

1)$128,478,844....This did have a 60% dropoff this week so it wont have much more than this.

2)Not Released Yet

3)Not Released Yet

4)$93,687,367.....In 3 days....DAMN...That's all I have to say about that....

5)$314,523,202.....hmmmmm.....moe money than the sequel....that's in 3 weeks mind you....really BIG disappointment there.... [Roll Eyes]

6-9) Not Released Yet

10)$114,601,155.....This did break 100 million, but the momentum isnt there anymore with this...

So, concluding....

4 out of 10 guesses are wrong....The others aren't released yet

I myself think Garfield will easily make 100million in 2-3 weeks. It has the kids and the adults interest. You do realize I have a BIG 8 foot tall inflatable cat in the lobby here. Kids like that thing alot.

I got to go to school now....

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 06-08-2004 01:52 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I will admit that I could be wrong about Garfield. While I still feel the movie will suck, it could do very well. The trailer is one of the dumbest things I've ever seen, but at the end when Garfield says "I'm walkin' the dog" everyone cracks up including the adults. So who knows?

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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 06-25-2004 09:53 PM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
ok,

Garfield is not going to make it like I thought.

Current revenue for this film is: $48,770,278

So, KD actually got 1 right!!!!!

Now, can he make it 2?

I thought Around The World In 80 Days was going to bomb.

Sure enough KD did too!!

Current revenue for ATWI80D is: $15.1 million

I'm amazed!

Congratulations on getting 2 correct!!!

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Nate Lehrke
Master Film Handler

Posts: 396
From: Denver, CO
Registered: Oct 2002


 - posted 06-25-2004 11:47 PM      Profile for Nate Lehrke   Email Nate Lehrke   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Anyone know what Around the World cost to make?

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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 06-26-2004 08:13 AM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Around the World cost 110 million to make

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Richard Greco
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1180
From: Plant City, FL
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted 07-19-2004 06:34 AM      Profile for Richard Greco   Email Richard Greco   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Although it's been a while sine we've seen KD, here's an update on his "predictions" for flops

quote: Richard Greco was the last to post
My prediction for B.O. disappointments this year.

1. The Day After Tomorrow

2. Alien V Predator

3. King Arthur

4. Harry Potter And The Prisoner of Azbakan

5. Shrek 2

6. Garfield

7. I,Robot

8. Skycaptain And The World of Tomorrow

9. Around the World in 80 days

10.Van Helsing.

Ok Starting with Day After Tomorrow: $183.2 million
WRONG

Alien Vs Predator: Not Released

King Arthur: $37.8 million
It has potential to break $100 million

Harry Potter 3: $238.2 million
WRONG

Shrek 2: $424.7 million
Umm...WRONG
Highest groosing film of the year BTW

Garfield: $70.3 million
It'll be tough to break 100 mil on this one
I think his prediction was right.

I, Robot: Initial estimates are at $52.2 million
This has more than enough to push it past $100 million in week 2-3

Skycaptain: Not Released Yet

80 Days: $22.4 million
Definate FLOP

Van Helsing: $119.4 million
Once again, NOT A FLOP

These grosses are domestic only. Since KD isn’t around anymore, there is no use telling how many he got wrong to right so I won’t. But that is the current tally FYI.

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Jason Black
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1723
From: Myrtle Beach, SC, USA
Registered: Nov 2000


 - posted 07-19-2004 07:45 AM      Profile for Jason Black   Author's Homepage   Email Jason Black   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
since KD isn't around anymore
Did he get banned or have I missed something?

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Jeremy Fuentes
Mmmm, Dr. Pepper!

Posts: 1168
From: Corpus Christi, TX United States
Registered: Jan 2004


 - posted 07-19-2004 07:51 AM      Profile for Jeremy Fuentes   Email Jeremy Fuentes   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
He's on the DVD forums out there, discussing the grosses for the Passion of Christ on DVD. He guesses eleventeen billion for the U.S. only. [Big Grin]

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Pravin Ratnam
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 844
From: Atlanta, GA,USA
Registered: Sep 2002


 - posted 07-19-2004 01:40 PM      Profile for Pravin Ratnam   Email Pravin Ratnam   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Jeremy, I knew you were joking. But with KD, who knows, so I actually went and checked the forums to confirm that you were joking about the predictions for the Passion DVD. [thumbsup]

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Jeremy Fuentes
Mmmm, Dr. Pepper!

Posts: 1168
From: Corpus Christi, TX United States
Registered: Jan 2004


 - posted 07-19-2004 01:50 PM      Profile for Jeremy Fuentes   Email Jeremy Fuentes   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Thanks for the confirmation. [thumbsup]

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