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Author Topic: Meet the Lone Loser in MoviePass Hitting 1 Million Members
Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 08-06-2018 08:34 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
So they're just ditching their current "9.95" plan and raising the price of the current "7.95" plan to $9.95.

I suppose the whole $14.95 thing was a trial balloon to see if everybody got really pissed off...which they did, hence this new plan.

It'll still only work if the majority of their customers see less than one movie a month on average, since the average ticket price in the U.S. is $9+.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 08-07-2018 03:37 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
So, avid moviegoers, stay away, dammit! Make room for those occasional moviegoers.

Mitch Lowe still doesn't get it, as shown in this excerpt from the article:

quote: Mitch Lowe
"We've learned that going to the exhibitors and looking for a discount is not the right approach, because that discount comes out of the studio share and then we expect the studios to pay us to promote the film and it's like double dipping."
No it doesn't come out of the studio share, you idiot -- it comes out of the theater's profits, which are meager on the tickets to start with! That's why nobody wants to work with you.

Anyway, here's the whole article (with bullet points).

MoviePass' CEO says he will focus on the 'occasional moviegoer' and has a new strategy for working with theaters

- MoviePass CEO Mitch Lowe told Business Insider the mission of the company now is to focus on the "occasional moviegoer."

- He said 40% of cost of goods sold were from the 15% of subscribers who used MoviePass four or more times a month.

- On Monday MoviePass announced it was keeping its monthly subscription price at $9.95 — but limiting the number of movies you can see to three a month.

- Lowe said the company would also attempt to make deals with movie theaters and studios to get a more favorable marketing fee to promote movies.

- MoviePass has been trying to get discounted bulk-ticketing prices but has not been successful.

MoviePass has a new mission: "Reenergize the occasional moviegoer."

That's how the company's CEO Mitch Lowe described it to Business Insider on Monday after announcing that his company was keeping the price at $9.95 a month (and nixing surge pricing and ticket verification), but capping subscribers at three movies a month , beginning August 15.

The app gained millions of new subscribers beginning in August 2017 when it changed its monthly subscription price to $10 a month (to see one movie per day). But what MoviePass didn't realize was a small core group of its users would really take their viewing to the upper limits of the service, Lowe said.

A major reason MoviePass has been burning through an estimated $45 million a month is that it has to pay movie theaters the full ticket price for most of the millions of tickets its subscribers order.

"A small amount of our subscribers, that 15% that would go to four or more [per month], go to a lot of movies. A lot!" Lowe said. "It's almost half of our cost of goods, like 40% of our cost of goods are used by that 15%."

These subscribers went to everything from the biggest movies of the year like "Black Panther" and "Avengers: Infinity War" to hit indies like "Hereditary" and the documentary "Three Identical Strangers." Lowe said, initially the thought was that putting a surge price on the popular films would slow things down, however people were paying it.

Then MoviePass got more dramatic and announced the monthly plan would go up to $14.95 and the big Hollywood releases would no longer be available on the app. But that didn't work either.

"The e-ticketing theaters, which haven't been affected in this whole thing, have gone up almost 75% over the last couple of weeks," Lowe said. These e-ticketing theaters give MoviePass a discount in exchange for promotion in the app.

So to attract just the casual MoviePass users — who spend $40 to $50 a year at the movies — which Lowe said represent 85% of its subscribers, the monthly plan will stay at the attractive $9.95 monthly offer. (If you want to go to the movies more than three times a month, MoviePass will offer discounts of $2 to $5 a ticket if you book through the MoviePass app.)

Lowe said he was confident that would decrease the burn substantially and get Wall Street back on board.

"I have had billion-dollar VCs tell me, 'If you would only put a cap on your costs we would invest and be right behind you,'" Lowe said. "I never did it because my investors kept telling me, 'We're behind you, we know it's going to take a lot of time,' and then suddenly they stopped saying that."

The stock of MoviePass' parent company, Helios and Matheson (HMNY), plunged to 7 cents last Friday, an all-time low . This came after the company did a 1-for-250 reverse stock split to pull it out of danger of getting delisted from the Nasdaq starting mid-December. It didn't work. (The stock was trading around 8 cents on Monday).

With the pivot to focus on the occasional moviegoer, Lowe admitted it would be more of a challenge to get to his goal of 5 million subscribers by the end of the year. But it may be more important to build better relationships within the industry than focus on subscription numbers.

For some time, MoviePass has tried to make bulk price movie-ticket deals with theaters so it didn't have to pay full ticket price on the millions its subscribers order on the app. Lowe said the progress has been happening "really slowly" to get exhibitors on board. So Lowe said MoviePass now has a new plan.

"We've learned that going to the exhibitors and looking for a discount is not the right approach, because that discount comes out of the studio share and then we expect the studios to pay us to promote the film and it's like double dipping, so we have changed our model," Lowe said. "We are just about to roll out to exhibitors that we'll continue to pay full price, but we want to negotiate with them a fair marketing fee."

So MoviePass wants to get a better marketing fee from exhibitors and studios on their movies it highlights on its app, social media, and other platforms. MoviePass boasts that it's responsible for 6% of the 2018 box office (which is up 8% from last year ) and believes with the inroads it has made on the marketing side with movie theaters and studios, that it can land a good deal, versus discounted tickets. (According to Helios and Matheson's most recent quarterly report, marketing and promotion made up $1.4 million of MoviePass' revenue in the first three months of 2018).

"I went in with a pay-for-performance approach to both the exhibitors and the studios, and I found it didn't work within the system and it caused all kinds of challenges," Lowe said. "So we think we now have a way to do this that fits in with how business is done."

Despite all the challenges MoviePass has faced, Lowe said he was optimistic, adding that new services like bring-a-friend, which allows MoviePass subscribers to pay for a non-subscriber ticket, and an option to order a ticket to a non-2D movie (like IMAX or Real 3D), would be available in the next month.

"We've got a couple of tricks up our sleeve," Lowe said.

Business Insider article

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Harold Hallikainen
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 906
From: Denver, CO, USA
Registered: Aug 2009


 - posted 08-07-2018 03:55 PM      Profile for Harold Hallikainen   Author's Homepage   Email Harold Hallikainen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The tale continues! I think the subscriptions or discount programs offered by individual circuits have quite a bit more benefit. I call it the "Costco effect." You've paid your membership fee, so that's where you're going to shop so you get your money's worth. With Movie Pass working with every theater, there is no advantage gained by an individual exhibitor (other than, maybe, being listed at the top of the application), so exhibitors are unlikely to pay anything. With my Denver Film Society membership, I get a ticket discount there, so I'm more likely to see a movie there than elsewhere. On the studio side, they are the only ones with that particular movie, so they don't need to offer a discount to get people away from the competition. Instead, they need to get the general public interested in the movie. They do that advertising to the general public (or targeting audiences they think would be interested, which trailers do a great job of doing).

So... the tale continues...

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Carsten Kurz
Film God

Posts: 4340
From: Cologne, NRW, Germany
Registered: Aug 2009


 - posted 08-07-2018 04:19 PM      Profile for Carsten Kurz   Email Carsten Kurz   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
My cat would be a better CEO than this jerk - when will he notice he is talking with his pants down...

- Carsten.

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Frank Cox
Film God

Posts: 2234
From: Melville Saskatchewan Canada
Registered: Apr 2011


 - posted 08-07-2018 04:46 PM      Profile for Frank Cox   Author's Homepage   Email Frank Cox   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
They're going to target people who spent $40 or $50 per year at the theatre, and they're going to charge those people $120 per year.

[Confused]

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Adam Martin
I'm not even gonna point out the irony.

Posts: 3686
From: Dallas, TX
Registered: Nov 2000


 - posted 08-07-2018 05:52 PM      Profile for Adam Martin   Author's Homepage   Email Adam Martin       Edit/Delete Post 
Step 1 ... Steal underpants!
Step 2 ... ...
Step 3 ... Profit!

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Martin McCaffery
Film God

Posts: 2481
From: Montgomery, AL
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 08-07-2018 08:34 PM      Profile for Martin McCaffery   Author's Homepage   Email Martin McCaffery   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Assuming Lowe walks away with a bunch of other people's money, I'll be contrarian and say he's a genius for finding the stupidest rich people in the world and talking them into this scheme.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 08-07-2018 10:06 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Mike Blakesley
Lowe said. "We are just about to roll out to exhibitors that we'll continue to pay full price, but we want to negotiate with them a fair marketing fee."
Oh, OK....so we're not giving a discount, we're just PAYING A FEE. That's completely different! Sign me up!!

(To be fair, I guess that would be a little different because an exhibitor could write it off as an advertising expense. I guess I would consider it, as long as that pesky "We can change the terms anytime we want" clause is stricken from the agreement.)

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Marcel Birgelen
Film God

Posts: 3357
From: Maastricht, Limburg, Netherlands
Registered: Feb 2012


 - posted 08-08-2018 08:10 AM      Profile for Marcel Birgelen   Email Marcel Birgelen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Frank Cox
They're going to target people who spent $40 or $50 per year at the theatre, and they're going to charge those people $120 per year.
Hey, they finally got a business plan that makes money... on paper. [Wink]

quote:
Oh, OK....so we're not giving a discount, we're just PAYING A FEE. That's completely different! Sign me up!!
It's obviously a typical "public directory" extortion scheme: Either you pay the fee or we'll throw you out of our listings...

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Jonathan M. Crist
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 531
From: Hershey, PA, USA
Registered: Apr 2000


 - posted 08-10-2018 01:06 PM      Profile for Jonathan M. Crist   Email Jonathan M. Crist   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
If you invested $100,000 in Helios stock on that day in October [just after HMNY announced it was buying MoviePass and the HMNY stock shot up briefly from 2.50 per share to about $31.00 per share] when Maxim's Kinstlinger initiated coverage with a "buy," your shares would now be worth about $1.85.

Two Banks Made Millions on MoviePass Play

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Bill Brandenstein
Master Film Handler

Posts: 413
From: Santa Clarita, CA
Registered: Jul 2013


 - posted 08-10-2018 06:25 PM      Profile for Bill Brandenstein   Email Bill Brandenstein   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
That didn't take long. My goodness!

Shouldn't there be some lawsuits?

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Jack Ondracek
Film God

Posts: 2348
From: Port Orchard, WA, USA
Registered: Oct 2002


 - posted 08-10-2018 11:47 PM      Profile for Jack Ondracek   Author's Homepage   Email Jack Ondracek   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
So... throughout this epic saga, the people who you hear almost nothing from Lowe and Farnsworth about are... their stockholders.

While Lowe is declaring he's "finally" figured out whos revenue stream he's trying to barge in on, and Farnsworth is insisting that "everything's fine" while their stock is, once again, below a nickel, there's this...

https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/gainey-mckenna-egleston-announces-a-class-action-lawsuit-has-been-filed-against-helios-and-matheson-analytics-inc-hmny-2018-08-10

-------------------------------------

Gainey McKenna & Egleston announces that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. ("Helios and Matheson" or the "Company") HMNY, -19.87% in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York on behalf of a class consisting of investors who purchased or otherwise acquired Helios and Matheson securities on the open market from August 15, 2017 and July 26, 2018, inclusive (the "Class Period"), seeking to recover compensable damages caused by Defendants' alleged violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The Complaint alleges that the Company made false and misleading statements to the market in connection with the Company's promotion of the future profitability and high valuation of MoviePass. The Complaint alleges that the MoviePass business model could not be sustained and that the Company would run out of capital. Therefore, the Complaint alleges that , the Company's public statements about its business prospects and operations were materially false and misleading during the class period. When the market learned the truth about Helios and Matheson, the price of the Company's stock dropped, causing investors to suffer damages.

The Complaint also alleges that throughout the Class Period, the Company made other materially false and misleading statements regarding the Company's business, operational and compliance policies. Specifically, the Complaint alleges that the Company made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (1) the Company's sales claims and the supposed underlying proprietary techniques lacked a verifiable basis and (2) as a result, the Company's public statements were materially false and misleading at all relevant times.

.... Please visit our website at http://www.gme-law.com for more information about the firm.

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Jonathan M. Crist
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 531
From: Hershey, PA, USA
Registered: Apr 2000


 - posted 08-11-2018 11:45 AM      Profile for Jonathan M. Crist   Email Jonathan M. Crist   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The class action lawsuit filed Aug 10th by Gainey, Mckenna and Egleston is just the lastest one. Can you say: Pile On?

There were already at least 4 other class actions already filed:

Levi & Korsinsky (filed August 2, 2018) Levi & Korsinsky

Federman & Sherwood (filed August 3, 2018) Federman and Sherwood

Rosen Law Firm (filed August 3, 2018) Rosen Law Firm

Pawar Law Group (filed August 7, 2018) Pawar Law Group

The way this works is that there is a 'race to the courthouse' with the first firm to file most often then being 'lead counsel' when the various lawsuits are consolidated into one. However all counsel who have filed do get to share in the awarded attorney fees but the 'lead counsel' gets a bigger slice of the pie.

The settlement usually results in the class action attorneys getting paid while once again the shareholders get little or nothing.

The real sad commentary in this whole affair is that the exhibition industry by its sky-high pricing allowed itself to become a pawn in what is yet another classic 'pump and dump' stock scheme.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 08-11-2018 01:35 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Jonathan M. Crist
The real sad commentary in this whole affair is that the exhibition industry by its sky-high pricing allowed itself to become a pawn in what is yet another classic 'pump and dump' stock scheme.
At the risk of igniting yet another debate about pricing, what would be a "correct" price? Everyone says movie prices are too high, even though they're the lowest-priced out-of-home entertainment option out there, coupled with a high cost to put that entertainment in the market. So what's the benchmark? What's a movie ticket worth?

All MoviePass has done is prove that people love a bargain. Well, and that they have taken the Redbox/Netflix valuation of movies (a buck or two, at most) to heart.

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Harold Hallikainen
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 906
From: Denver, CO, USA
Registered: Aug 2009


 - posted 08-11-2018 02:27 PM      Profile for Harold Hallikainen   Author's Homepage   Email Harold Hallikainen   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
On high prices, as long as there is not collusion to set prices, competition between exhibitors should keep pricing correct. If exhibitors were all equal (at least in the mind of the consumer) in quality, features, location, etc., price would be the determining factor as to which theater the consumer went to (like a consumer will choose one gas station over the one across the street to save a penny per gallon). But, they are not all the same. Exhibitors are trying to compete on things other than price (recliners, etc.). It would be interesting to get an idea of how exhibitors set their prices. Higher CAN result in higher profits, but if attendance falls, lower profits. We see time of day pricing through matinee discounts. How much price experimentation is there to determine the optimum (most profitable) price? And, of course, exhibitors are not just competing with other exhibitors. They are competing with Netflix, sporting events, and whatever other entertainment people are willing to spend money on.

On the class action law suits, it was mentioned that the lead attorneys get a larger portion of the pie. I suspect it's a pretty small pie to share.

It's amazing how easily investors are misled. I think everyone here saw that it was extremely difficult to impossible to make a profit on MoviePass. How did all these "smart people" put so many millions into this?

Also, as mentioned previously by another poster, investors are relying on advice from advisors who do not have a fiduciary responsibility to the investor. You get what you pay for! If you want someone to act in your interest, PAY THEM to do that, and make sure no one else is paying them to act against your interest. We saw a similar thing in the 2008 financial crisis where those selling the securities would hire ratings companies to rate the value of the securities. The investors relied on these ratings, but the ratings companies had no responsibility to the investor.

Harold

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