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» Film-Tech Forum ARCHIVE   » Operations   » Ground Level   » Grosses for PASSION OF CHRIST - a 100 Million in 5 days ? (Page 11)

 
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Author Topic: Grosses for PASSION OF CHRIST - a 100 Million in 5 days ?
Steve Kraus
Film God

Posts: 4094
From: Chicago, IL, USA
Registered: May 2000


 - posted 03-12-2004 07:14 AM      Profile for Steve Kraus     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I don't know why Variety is knocking Newmarket. Ten-percent (their rumored fee) is going to give them a very nice profit for simply handling the bookings and collections (I don't know if they also were involved with--though didn't pay for--marketing efforts). With an outfit like TES handling the actual logistics being a distributor doesn't require the far-flung network of offices it once did.

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Kamakshipalya Dhananjay
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 190
From: Bangalore, India
Registered: Aug 2002


 - posted 03-12-2004 09:22 AM      Profile for Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Email Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Besides the point, somebody tell me why some distributors dont aim high at all. Particularly, FOCUS Features. They had PIANIST with them and somehow, I feel that the film deserved to do a lot better in theatres and that a different distributor might have strived for a higher return. It is a different thing that no other distributor wanted to touch that film.

Again, take this film ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND. To my mind, this appears to merit a very wide release than has been aimed at - a mere 1250 theatres. In other words, if not because of the intrinsic appeal of this film, at least in relation to the releases other films receive, I think a mere 1250 theatres is way too low for the film, ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND. My prediction is that this film will have no difficulty crossing 80 million N.A Theatrical and a 100 million looks very likely.

Again, I am not about to revise my estimates for PASSION. It will sail past the 400 million mark.

Wait, somebody wish to ask how I predict ETERNAL.. will make that much money if it plays in so few theatres ? Well, I think this number will most likely revise. Reviews are already coming in for that film and just like what Newmarket did at the last hour, FOCUS too will up their numbers. Even if they do not up the opening week, they will be encouraged by the response in the opening week to expand for the second week.

So, contrary to what some think, I am not just for PASSION. I am for ETERNAL Too, for now. I have been following this film too for quite a while and am convinced now that there will be big numbers for ETERNAL. I would rather predict so high and hugely fail than predict a mediocre sum and be proved correct, at least for works that I have observed over a period of time and for which, I can develop a conviction that they will deliver.

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Kevin Wale
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 167
From: Guymon, OK USA
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 - posted 03-18-2004 01:16 AM      Profile for Kevin Wale   Email Kevin Wale   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
By Me: Portions of India are known for it's persecution of christians. You seem to be quite pleased with the results so far whereas it's not someone from America's first thought that someone from India would be so excited about this film. Have you noticed a general negative reaction about the film in India or is all the hostility located in more remote areas of India?
quote:
By Pravin Ratnam: Oh by the way, Kevin mentioned something about mistreatment of Christians in India. It is very isolated and really not a problem.

Kamakshipalya, are you so hung up on this grosses thing that you are only willing to discuss to the letter of the topic title? If so, would you P.M. me a response to the above. Pravin seemed to be able to comment as an aside whilst remaining on topic.

Some of the info I have certainly suggests that while it may not be a widespread thing, it is certainly a "problem" to be sure. I would call and his children getting burned to the ground locked in thier van a problem. People say the "isolated" incidents of racially motivated police brutality isn't really a "problem" here in the States, but it certainly is.

What I'm curious about is given the many different villages, each with thier own language how the particular area you are in is with regaurds to the radical Hindu factions which seem to be the source(Muslims are also targeted seemingly, largely due to an extreme combining of "church and state."

Pravin, your point of view I assume is based on a specific area. Would it be a more rural area or in a city?

As for grosses, 400 mil still seems within sight. 32 million dollar weekends nearly a month after it's release is quite phenominal. It's ahead of The Phantom Menace at the same point in it's run with Easter still ahead. 270 mil is quite astounding for an independant release... it's truely blowing me away.

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Kamakshipalya Dhananjay
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 190
From: Bangalore, India
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 - posted 03-18-2004 05:19 AM      Profile for Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Email Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Dear Kevin

The attacks in India on Christian missionaries and on Muslim populations are not, contrary to what the media makes out, acts of the general population. At least, where I stay, in Bangalore, these kind of events are unknown. I personally believe the population in India are quite peace loving and the works of communal clashes are almost always, works of motivated politicians and others who stand to benefit by such attacks.

It should, of course, be very disturbing for anybody to even read about what happened to the Christian Family in Orissa, a state in North-Eastern India and probably, the poorest in the country. All members of a Christian family, except one, were locked inside a jeep and burnt alive while passers by simply stood and watched. Since this incident, the Christian community in the country, a miniscule percentage of the general population, has come to terms with the same. They have been more determined since and the activities of the Christian missionaries have since been heavily protected by the authorities and there has been a revolutionary rise in the growth of Christian aid/missionary institutions in India since that event.

And the perpetrator of that horrendous crime has since been sentenced to murder and awaits execution by hanging to death.

I somehow cannot really write about this or other similar incidents with 'ease'. So, I did not.

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Kevin Wale
Expert Film Handler

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From: Guymon, OK USA
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted 03-18-2004 12:38 PM      Profile for Kevin Wale   Email Kevin Wale   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Thanks for elaborating. It's always interesting hearing different points of view from people who are there.

quote:
The attacks in India on Christian missionaries and on Muslim populations are not, contrary to what the media makes out, acts of the general population.
The media over here hasn't suggested that it is the general population. Niether have the personal accounts I've heard. From what I have gathered even the general population is nervous in those areas because the attacks are extreme Hindu government attacks. Hence the precision and exacting selection of targets.

I've wondered if those government factions were trying to spread through the different tribes by trying to bully thier way through. I spoke on the internet with an Indian Hindu and he was concerned about it. He couldn't see how the government was acting very "Hindu" at all.

Anyway, I suppose if we discuss this any more we should go to email or PM with it. Feel free to send me either.

Man I often wish I had the money to just fly around the world and see all these places and talk to people...

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Brad Miller
Administrator

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From: Plano, TX (36.2 miles NW of Rockwall)
Registered: May 99


 - posted 03-18-2004 02:32 PM      Profile for Brad Miller   Author's Homepage   Email Brad Miller       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
Anyway, I suppose if we discuss this any more we should go to email or PM with it. Feel free to send me either.
Thank you Kevin. The next reply that is not specific to how much money Passion is making will be deleted, this thread closed and that member banned. No religious discussions of any sort on these forums.

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Floyd Justin Newton
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 559
From: Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Registered: Jun 2002


 - posted 03-18-2004 06:15 PM      Profile for Floyd Justin Newton   Email Floyd Justin Newton   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Brad--

Thank you very much... enough is enough!

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Mike Spaeth
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From: Marietta, GA
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 - posted 03-18-2004 06:41 PM      Profile for Mike Spaeth   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Spaeth   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Looks like it's time to delete the post and close the thread [Smile]

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Leo Enticknap
Film God

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From: Loma Linda, CA
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 - posted 03-22-2004 01:59 AM      Profile for Leo Enticknap   Author's Homepage   Email Leo Enticknap   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
After The Passion, Hollywood asks: what about the sequel?
By Charles Laurence in New York
The Sunday Telegraph, 21 March 2004

The blockbusting success of Mel Gibson's controversial The Passion of the Christ has prompted a scramble in Hollywood to develop more "films of faith" and cash in on a new genre. As receipts from Gibson's depiction of Jesus's final hours soared through the $300 million (£163 million) barrier after its third week at the box office, studio executives who originally refused to finance The Passion were left wondering how best to exploit the new trend.

The film's phenomenal popularity was further underlined last week when the "book of the movie", which costs $25, shot into second place on the New York Times bestseller lists. The coffee-table collection of still photographs taken on the set includes grisly close-ups of James Caviezel, who plays Christ. Images of Jesus's flayed back, and of his feet twisted and nailed to the cross, are captioned with quotations from the Gospels.

American television networks, which can move more quickly than Hollywood, have already tried to cash in on the passion for The Passion - which is previewed before selected audiences in Britain this week and goes nationwide on Friday - with little success. When ABC screened its television film Judas, a lacklustre production about Jesus's wayward disciple, it lost out in the ratings to a soap opera.

Undaunted, a second network, NBC, has commissioned a pilot episode for a series called Revelations. Based on the Book of Revelations, it features a scientist and a nun who find themselves coming to terms with faith in the Bible as the events of Armageddon begin to unfold. Gibson himself offered Hollywood a possible follow-up when he appeared on a television chat show: a film about the revolt of the Maccabees, the Bible story behind the Jewish holiday of Hanukkah. The sect revolted against the Greek king Antiochus IV two centuries before the birth of Christ, liberated Jerusalem and rededicated the Temple. "The Maccabees family stood up, and they made war," said Mr Gibson. "They stuck by their guns and they came out winning. It's like a Western."

Hollywood's attention, however, has been caught by the sales rather than the theology. Before The Passion was released, industry predictions were that the film's evangelical message, and its Latin and Aramaic dialogue, would deter cinemagoers. Gibson, a devout Roman Catholic, produced and directed the film using £16.3 million of his own money. Now, however, it has entered the commercial stratosphere occupied by The Lord of the Rings, Star Wars and Titanic. "Something is going on here," said Peter Guber, a producer and chairman of Mandalay Entertainment, and a former head of Sony Pictures Entertainment.

"The Passion was brilliantly marketed through controlled political and religious controversy, and there are people going to see it for the R-rated [adult] violence, but the key question for the rest of us is whether its sweet spot is its religious fervour. It looks as if we have to assume that it is. And with the money up to $300 million, I can guarantee that emulators and imitators will be looking to repeat the formula."

Paul Dergarabedian of Exhibitor Relations, which tracks box office returns, said that receipts in America and Canada could reach £245 million by the end of the Easter weekend. "If The Passion continues on this trajectory, it's possible for it to surpass Star Wars, which took $461 million in America and Canada and even Titanic [£327.7 million]. People who have never seen an R-rated film are seeing this one," Mr Dergarabedian said.

It is the age and demographic range of the audience that has startled the entertainment industry. Bob Berney, the head of Newmarket Films, which agreed to distribute The Passion after Gibson had been spurned by the leading studios, said that The Passion had done predictably well in the Bible Belt, but had also outsold all other films in industrial areas such as Detroit. "It's getting teens and college kids, and urban areas are doing great. There's a strong Latino and African-American component to the audience," he said.

Tyndale House, a publisher of Christian publications, confirmed that its "book of the movie" was being bought by an equally wide range of people. The first 150,000-copy print run sold out in days, and the book is now going into its eighth edition. There are signs that The Passion is also becoming a cult "horror" film, promoted on websites popular with young men. One website described it as: "The bloodiest, goriest, flesh-rippingest film your church-going grandma will ever want to see. Jesus's ripped flesh becomes a horror make-up artist's dream."

Mr Guber believes that the mixture of gory presentation and the religious fervour of Gibson himself, will not be easily reproduced by Hollywood. "There are three attractions," he said. "The religious controversy, the peer-group pressure, which makes The Passion a 'must see' and the hedonistic element which is really attracted to an excuse to see extreme violence.

Link to story (registration required).

How about a remake of Sodom and Gomorrah? That would pack 'em in...

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Michael Schaffer
"Where is the
Boardwalk Hotel?"

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 - posted 03-22-2004 02:32 AM      Profile for Michael Schaffer   Author's Homepage   Email Michael Schaffer   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I think it`s just hilarious and [puke] provoking how these studio executives just don`t have a clue of what`s going on and always miss the opportunity to try something new and/or different, then when a movie becomes a hit, they try to reproduce the new found "formula". Pathetic.

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Dave Williams
Wet nipple scene

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From: Salt Lake City, UT, USA
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 - posted 03-24-2004 08:20 AM      Profile for Dave Williams   Author's Homepage   Email Dave Williams   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
How much money do you think this would have made had any of the big studios actually picked this up right off the bat? I think that much of the controversy came to light only AFTER gibson had been spurned by the big boys and the thought came to mind that the film may not see distribution. That's when the public became interested in this film. Newmarket picked up on that and swooped up the film and will make an ungodly sum from this incredible business decision.

So far this thing has reached nearly 300 million and just surpassed "the sixth sense" on the all time list for domestic grosses, and just keeps climbing. The easter returns for this could easily push this thing to 350 million and higher by the end of april.

Mel gibson plans to do another religeous movie based on a massacre of jews 200 years before the time of christ. I think he sees a new market in film making and he may be correct. However, I don't think it ever would have taken off were it not for the fear the big boys felt. Good for them. Way to not make any real money this year.

And good for gibson. Maybe now he can make that sequel to Braveheart I have been waiting for all these years..

Ciao

Dave

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Thomas Procyk
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From: Royal Palm Beach, FL, USA
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 - posted 03-24-2004 12:48 PM      Profile for Thomas Procyk   Email Thomas Procyk   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
If Gibson does decide to make another film like this, he should give exclusive distribution rights to Newmarket for having faith (pun intended) in him. It wouldn't be fair if one of the "big three" snatched it.

Take "Halloween" for example. Released by Compass International. Becomes hugely popular. "Halloween II" released by Universal Pictures. [Razz]

=TMP=

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Kamakshipalya Dhananjay
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Posts: 190
From: Bangalore, India
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 - posted 04-02-2004 01:52 AM      Profile for Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Email Kamakshipalya Dhananjay   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
318 Million till wednesday. Box office continues to favour this film and I feel that countless films have failed to earn what they otherwise would have, all because of 'PASSION'. All the funny films like 'Dawn..' and 'Scooby .." could have made some more if not for 'PASSION'. If one were to accept the theory that Box-office receipts (in terms of dollars) continues to grow with each year, then it is not in dispute that with market willing to spend X amount of money in a week on any 'set of films', the dominance in that market by any single film only deprives the others of the dollars. Anybody here agrees on this ?

That 'PASSION' possibly deprived a lot of other films of their market and money ?

Then again, anybody has any opinion on whether 'PASSION' makes forthcoming action/violent films pale in comparison ? After all, a lot of action movie fans too might have watched 'PASSION' and if this film is to serve thier assessment of 'action' in a forthcoming film, it is somewhat likely that many upcoming films will pale in comparison.

Besides, some critics might also argue that 'PASSION' has simply eroded the 'action movie fan' base simply because you can only put so much violence in a film and a mass acceptance of a film with extreme violence could mean that future action films may easily disappoint such fans.

Also, it is quite interesting to note that 'PASSION' has been very ordinary outside of North America.We do not know if it has really been so good in Canada either. But then, it is very ordinary terrain everywhere else.

For now, does 'PASSION' merit the classification 'ACTION' among others ?

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

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From: Forsyth, Montana
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 - posted 04-02-2004 12:26 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
I feel that countless films have failed to earn what they otherwise would have, all because of 'PASSION'. All the funny films like 'Dawn..' and 'Scooby .." could have made some more if not for 'PASSION'.
Proving once and for all that the SINGLE SCREEN theatre is the best format. Quick, to the bulldozers! [Roll Eyes]

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Thomas Procyk
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1842
From: Royal Palm Beach, FL, USA
Registered: Feb 2002


 - posted 04-04-2004 12:47 PM      Profile for Thomas Procyk   Email Thomas Procyk   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
I feel that countless films have failed to earn what they otherwise would have, all because of 'PASSION'. All the funny films like 'Dawn..' and 'Scooby .." could have made some more if not for 'PASSION'.
HOGWASH!!

(Scenario 1, punk highschool kids) "Hey man, you wanna go see Dawn of the Dead tonight?" -- "No way, dude. I would MUCH rather go see the last moments of Christ's life as told by Mel Gibson!" -- "You're right. Screw Dawn of the Dead! Let's see Passion!" (Sorry! Not happening...)

(Scenario 2, mom and 5 year old girl.) "Hey sweetie! Do you want to go see Scooby Doo today?" -- "Well, not really mommie. I would rather you take me to see that Jesus man get beaten for two hours." -- "Okay, dearie! It's your choice..." -- "YAAAY! Can I get popcorn and candy, too?" (Again... not happening)

Remember that a lot of people going to see Passion are people who haven't been to the movies for a long time, if at all, as referenced by one of the 420 Passion threads on here.

A more believable example would be with Titanic. It held on to the #1 spot for nearly 15 weeks. THAT deprived other movies of success, especially since it was released during the holiday movie period. Not until Lost in Space in April did it drop to #2, and slowly sink thereafter.

Passion has been at #1 for just 3 weeks, and is currently down to #6. I am willing to safely bet money, in US currency please, that this film WILL NOT break $400m at the box office domestically. Guaranteed. So calm down.

=TMP=

P.S. I would like to add gleefully that not only HELLboy, but Home on the Range have beat out Passion this week. [Big Grin]

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